Vladimir Adamczyk vs Zbynek Pagac 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod

Played Oct 12Finished

Vladimir Adamczyk

Home

2.25

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

411115115911711

Zbynek Pagac

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:53 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%

Graded at full time

Zbynek Pagac to win

56.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Zbynek Pagac below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 9-11

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 85 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Zbynek Pagac at 56.1%

85 points played in total.

H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 0–1 Zbynek Pagac Vladimir Adamczyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 0–1Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Pagac

Adamczyk 2.25/Pagac 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.1%

Pagac · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Pagac won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:53

56.1%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 7.6pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Pagac

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

0-1 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Rating (G2)

Adamczyk 1653 vs Pagac 1591

Adamczyk

Wrong

both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Adamczyk 80% vs Pagac 40%

Adamczyk

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Adamczyk 80% vs Pagac 30%

Adamczyk

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Adamczyk +2 · Pagac -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Pagac) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pagac: form 40%, the price implies 64%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAdamczyk 2.25 / Pagac 1.571

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Pagac)-7.6pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeAdamczyk0wins

AwayPagac1wins

1 of 1 to a deciderPagac leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home0

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away1

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricAdamczykPagacA − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.043.0−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricAdamczykPagacBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 249 vs 339 / 71755.4%47.3%138 / 249 vs 339 / 717Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.1per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13278929

Adamczyk2.25

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog44% won 34 of 77

Down 0–1, comes back32% 17 of 53

Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28

Pagac1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite59% won 113 of 191

Up 2–0, closes it94% 50 of 53

Up 1–0, closes it77% 75 of 97

Vladimir Adamczyk vs Zbynek Pagac 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Vladimir Adamczyk vs Zbynek Pagac 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.