TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Necas vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121191113115117
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMiroslav Necas above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-0
Point 86 set 5, 4-0
86 points drawn · the score is 14 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Miroslav Necas 2–1 Vaclav Dolezal Vaclav Dolezal has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Necas beat Dolezal 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNecas 1.444 / Dolezal 2.625
Czech Liga Pro · #13279708
Necas1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Dolezal2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 34 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeNecas2wins
AwayDolezal1wins
Necas leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNecas66.7%2 of 3
AwayDolezaln = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Necas3Dolezal0n = 3Necas took 3 of 3
S2Necas2Dolezal1n = 3Necas took 2 of 3
S3Necas1Dolezal2n = 3Dolezal took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricNecasDolezalN − DBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match34.332.0+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNecasDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 63 vs 396 / 79344.4%49.9%28 / 63 vs 396 / 793Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NecasNecas 1.44/Dolezal 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Necas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 11 · 10:30M. Necas3811115113V. Dolezal31791141
WOct 11 · 06:30M. Necas341111123V. Dolezal2284100
LAug 16 · 01:30M. Necas31125951V. Dolezal43101111113
M. Necas10
LOct 11 · 12:30J. Didi1.73971111153M. Necas2.00111187132LOct 11 · 11:30M. Necas2.20711991D. Barton1.6111411113WOct 11 · 10:30V. Dolezal1.80791141M. Necas1.9111115113LOct 11 · 09:29M. Necas2.00116101172J. Pleskot1.73811127113LOct 11 · 08:00J. Pleskot1.67111196113M. Necas2.1069111162WOct 11 · 07:00M. Barta2.5091111992M. Necas1.50117411113WOct 11 · 06:30M. Necas2.101111123V. Dolezal1.6784100LOct 10 · 03:00R. Urban1.571613113M. Necas2.25141160LOct 10 · 02:30M. Stefek1.801111113M. Necas1.914980LOct 10 · 01:00M. Novak1.611111113M. Necas2.204480
V. Dolezal10
LOct 11 · 12:00D. Barton1.5015711113V. Dolezal2.501311891LOct 11 · 11:00J. Didi1.61131189123V. Dolezal2.201191111102LOct 11 · 10:30V. Dolezal1.80791141M. Necas1.9111115113WOct 11 · 08:59M. Barta2.20301161V. Dolezal1.6111119113LOct 11 · 08:30M. Barta2.2551111113V. Dolezal1.57118871WOct 11 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.33111011113J. Pleskot3.25812791LOct 11 · 06:30M. Necas2.101111123V. Dolezal1.6784100LOct 8 · 12:59R. Hasmanda1.441211113V. Dolezal2.6310960LOct 8 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.611111113V. Dolezal2.205970LOct 8 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.635124101A. Svoboda1.44111011123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.