TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Barta vs Vaclav Dolezal 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA17 Hall · Liberec
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511118118117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:09 and never touched: 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Dolezal to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Vaclav Dolezal @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Vaclav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Vaclav Dolezal at 54.5%
72 points played in total.
The pick
Sealed 08:09Sent to Pro: Vaclav Dolezal @ 1.73 · Lost
54.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 9.2pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Barta 1267 vs Dolezal 1349
Dolezal
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 0% vs Dolezal 20%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 40% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta -6 · Dolezal +1
Barta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent when this read was sealed. The pick sent to Pro came from a re-read before the serve.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Dolezal) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 2.25 / Dolezal 1.571
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Dolezal)-9.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13275113
Barta2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 68 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back25% 27 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 59
Dolezal1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 141 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it84% 106 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 560 vs 395 / 78846.4%50.1%260 / 560 vs 395 / 788Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalBarta 2.25/Dolezal 1.57
Miss
What we said
54.5%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Vaclav Dolezal @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Barta won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Barta10
LOct 11 · 08:59M. Barta2.20301161V. Dolezal1.6111119113LOct 11 · 07:00M. Barta2.5091111992M. Necas1.50117411113LOct 11 · 06:00J. Pleskot1.831211410113M. Barta1.83107111292LOct 9 · 16:59J. Svec1.8311116133M. Barta1.877711111LOct 9 · 16:00M. Barta1.4451151182L. Havrda2.63117114113LOct 9 · 15:30P. Kulhanek1.401111113M. Barta2.759880LOct 9 · 14:00M. Barta1.7331040J. Svec2.001112113WOct 6 · 17:30M. Barta2.101411113V. Hruska Sr1.6712980WOct 6 · 16:00M. Barta2.10911312113J. Framberk1.67117111062WOct 6 · 15:30V. Hruska Sr1.61111110962M. Barta2.20861211113
V. Dolezal10
WOct 11 · 08:59M. Barta2.20301161V. Dolezal1.6111119113WOct 11 · 07:30V. Dolezal1.33111011113J. Pleskot3.25812791LOct 11 · 06:30M. Necas2.101111123V. Dolezal1.6784100LOct 8 · 12:59R. Hasmanda1.441211113V. Dolezal2.6310960LOct 8 · 12:30R. Hasmanda1.611111113V. Dolezal2.205970LOct 8 · 11:30V. Dolezal2.635124101A. Svoboda1.44111011123WOct 8 · 10:30M. Stefek2.2571131162V. Dolezal1.57113116113WOct 8 · 09:00V. Hruska Sr1.83111111662V. Dolezal1.83951311113LOct 8 · 08:00V. Pecka1.571111113V. Dolezal2.257830WOct 8 · 07:00L. Havel1.7311912852V. Dolezal2.006111011113
Upcoming Matches
M. Barta
Nothing scheduled
V. Dolezal
Event Chatroom
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