Piotr Gesiarz vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia

Played Oct 12Finished

Piotr Gesiarz

Home

1.49

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

11612107111012611

Dariusz Maszczynski

Away

2.46

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched: 80.6% is still 80.6%

Graded at full time

Piotr Gesiarz to win

80.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

96 points played in total.

Set by set

11612107111012611

H2H Piotr Gesiarz 39–20 Dariusz Maszczynski Dariusz Maszczynski has won 20 of their 59 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Gesiarz

Gesiarz 1.49/Maszczynski 2.46

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

80.6%

Gesiarz · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Maszczynski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 15:55

80.6%Our read67.1%to break even at 1.49

clears by 13.5pp

67.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.49 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.49 (62%)

Gesiarz

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

39-20 in 59

Gesiarz

Wrong

gap of 19 in 59, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Gesiarz 1403 vs Maszczynski 1125

Gesiarz

Wrong

both rated, 279 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Gesiarz 60% vs Maszczynski 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Gesiarz 70% vs Maszczynski 30%

Gesiarz

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Gesiarz +2 · Maszczynski +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 81% · Strong (leans Gesiarz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Maszczynski: form 60%, the price implies 41%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGesiarz 1.49 / Maszczynski 2.46

Signal prob.81% / 19%

Edge (Gesiarz)+13.5pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeGesiarz7wins

AwayMaszczynski3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderGesiarz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGesiarz77.8%7 of 9

AwayMaszczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Gesiarz9Maszczynski1n = 10Gesiarz took 9 of 10

S2Gesiarz8Maszczynski2n = 10Gesiarz took 8 of 10

S3Gesiarz4Maszczynski6n = 10Maszczynski took 6 of 10

S4Gesiarz1Maszczynski4n = 5Maszczynski took 4 of 5

S5Gesiarz2Maszczynski1n = 3Gesiarz took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiG − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.132.6+5.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGesiarzMaszczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 386 vs 113 / 50148.2%22.6%186 / 386 vs 113 / 501Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.233.4per match

TT Elite Series · #13279541

Gesiarz1.49

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 11)

Won last 2

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As favourite63% won 82 of 131

Up 2–0, closes it92% 60 of 65

Up 1–0, closes it77% 71 of 92

Maszczynski2.46

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog22% won 70 of 313

Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 217

Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 151

Piotr Gesiarz vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Piotr Gesiarz vs Dariusz Maszczynski 2-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.