TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Lysek vs Radomir Benesz 1-3 · TT Cup
TT CupHall 21 · Prague
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3119111210811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Lysek above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 75 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jakub Lysek at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:0354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Benesz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lysek 1330 vs Benesz 1252
Lysek
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysek 60% vs Benesz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysek 60% vs Benesz 40%
Lysek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysek +2 · Benesz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lysek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysek 1.833 / Benesz 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lysek)-0.6pp
TT Cup · #13278739
Lysek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Benesz1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysekBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 352 vs 87 / 23645.5%36.9%160 / 352 vs 87 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LysekLysek 1.83/Benesz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benesz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Lysek10
LOct 11 · 21:10R. Benesz1.611111113J. Lysek2.209360WOct 11 · 18:40M. Dolezal1.617780J. Lysek2.201111113WOct 11 · 18:10J. Oleksik1.73910100J. Lysek2.001112123LOct 11 · 17:10R. Jancak1.5771111113J. Lysek2.25113761WOct 11 · 16:10J. Lysek1.8011911113J. Walek1.91611681LOct 11 · 14:40R. Jancak1.5311137113J. Lysek2.388111191WOct 11 · 14:10M. Sobota1.53118971J. Lysek2.3881111113LOct 10 · 13:10L. Krupnik Jr1.579111512113J. Lysek2.25115131492WOct 10 · 12:10M. Sobota1.91131080J. Lysek1.801512113WOct 10 · 11:10J. Lysek2.10811117123P. Sturma1.67115911102
R. Benesz10
WOct 11 · 21:10R. Benesz1.611111113J. Lysek2.209360WOct 11 · 19:10R. Benesz2.0051115183J. Oleksik1.7311513161LOct 11 · 17:40M. Dolezal1.831311113R. Benesz1.8311290LOct 4 · 20:54R. Benesz1.3315711772P. Sturma3.251311611113WOct 4 · 19:45R. Benesz1.7311114113P. Sturma2.00991191WOct 4 · 18:45R. Benesz1.57137811133M. Dolezal2.251111118112LOct 4 · 17:45R. Benesz1.57711111172J. Oleksik2.25116713113LOct 2 · 20:45R. Benesz2.38121196132D. Stefek1.531081111153LOct 2 · 20:10B. Jonas1.6711128113R. Benesz2.109101171WOct 2 · 19:10R. Benesz2.381111159113D. Stefek1.53513131152
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.