Radomir Benesz vs Jan Oleksik 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Oct 4Finished

Radomir Benesz

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

7111161171113711

Jan Oleksik

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:39 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Radomir Benesz to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Jan Oleksik below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-6

Set 3 · 11-7

Set 4 · 11-13

Set 5 · 7-9

Point 93 set 5, 7-9 · our read held Radomir Benesz at 58.9%

93 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:39

58.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571

short by 4.8pp

63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Benesz

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Benesz 1236 vs Oleksik 1333

Oleksik

Correct

both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Benesz 20% vs Oleksik 0%

Benesz

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Benesz 20% vs Oleksik 40%

Oleksik

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Benesz -2 · Oleksik -5

Oleksik

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Benesz) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Oleksik form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBenesz 1.571 / Oleksik 2.25

Signal prob.59% / 41%

Edge (Benesz)-4.8pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13242670

Benesz1.57

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite25% won 3 of 12

Oleksik2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As underdog65% won 11 of 17

Down 0–1, comes back63% 5 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricBeneszOleksikBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 230 vs 42 / 8636.5%48.8%84 / 230 vs 42 / 86Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Benesz

Benesz 1.57/Oleksik 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.9%

Benesz · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Oleksik won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Benesz10