Yaroslav Vorsuliak vs Andrii Romanenko 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 12Finished

Yaroslav Vorsuliak

Home

2.20

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

711119411115311

Andrii Romanenko

Away

1.62

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%

Graded at full time

Andrii Romanenko to win

58.1%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Andrii Romanenko below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 3-11

Point 83 set 5, 3-11 · our read held Andrii Romanenko at 58.1%

83 points played in total.

H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3–4 Andrii Romanenko Yaroslav Vorsuliak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 3–4Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Romanenko

Vorsuliak 2.20/Romanenko 1.61

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.1%

Romanenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Romanenko won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 03:03

58.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 3.8pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Romanenko

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-4 in 7

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Vorsuliak 1643 vs Romanenko 1676

Romanenko

Correct

both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vorsuliak 60% vs Romanenko 40%

Vorsuliak

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vorsuliak 40% vs Romanenko 30%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Vorsuliak +3 · Romanenko -2

Vorsuliak

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Romanenko) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Romanenko: form 40%, the price implies 62%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVorsuliak 2.20 / Romanenko 1.615

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Romanenko)-3.8pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeVorsuliak3wins

AwayRomanenko4wins

2 of 7 to a deciderRomanenko leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVorsuliakn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayRomanenko66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vorsuliak1Romanenko6n = 7Romanenko took 6 of 7

S2Vorsuliak5Romanenko2n = 7Vorsuliak took 5 of 7

S3Vorsuliak2Romanenko5n = 7Romanenko took 5 of 7

S4Vorsuliak2Romanenko4n = 6Romanenko took 4 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home229%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away343%

0–3Straight, away114%

These 7 meetings

MetricVorsuliakRomanenkoV − RBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match38.340.0−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVorsuliakRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 884 vs 333 / 63150%52.8%442 / 884 vs 333 / 631Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match

Setka Cup · #13276820

Vorsuliak2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog39% won 78 of 201

Down 0–1, comes back22% 26 of 118

Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 69

Romanenko1.61

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite64% won 166 of 258

Up 2–0, closes it96% 86 of 90

Up 1–0, closes it82% 133 of 162

Yaroslav Vorsuliak vs Andrii Romanenko 2-3 · Setka Cup

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Yaroslav Vorsuliak vs Andrii Romanenko 2-3 · Setka Cup

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.