TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sukovatyi vs Andrii Romanenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1145111151210––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 69 set 4, 12-10 · our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 48–41 Andrii Romanenko Andrii Romanenko has won 41 of their 89 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0254.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
48-41 in 89
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 7 in 89, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1691 vs Romanenko 1708
Romanenko
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 20% vs Romanenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 40% vs Romanenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi +1 · Romanenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sukovatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Romanenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.727 / Romanenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sukovatyi)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261529
Sukovatyi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 178 of 299
Up 2–0, closes it97% 99 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it82% 141 of 172
Romanenko2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 82 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back21% 26 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi5wins
AwayRomanenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi75%3 of 4
AwayRomanenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi4Romanenko6n = 10Romanenko took 6 of 10
S3Sukovatyi6Romanenko4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S4Sukovatyi1Romanenko5n = 6Romanenko took 5 of 6
S5Sukovatyi3Romanenko0n = 3Sukovatyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoS − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.5−2.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 572 vs 330 / 62253.5%53.1%306 / 572 vs 330 / 622Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.73/Romanenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi5512101111113A. Romanenko46101251362
LOct 7 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi324116111A. Romanenko4411911133
WOct 4 · 01:15I. Sukovatyi341111123A. Romanenko2468100
LOct 1 · 10:05I. Sukovatyi216960A. Romanenko331111113
WSep 30 · 17:35I. Sukovatyi331111113A. Romanenko187560
LSep 30 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi167630A. Romanenko331111113
WSep 27 · 01:19I. Sukovatyi44411117113A. Romanenko4511591192
LSep 26 · 21:45I. Sukovatyi321061151A. Romanenko4012116113
LSep 24 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi37188741A. Romanenko49161111113
WSep 23 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi44921111113A. Romanenko4311118942
I. Sukovatyi10
WOct 8 · 09:05I. Hrekh2.0057130I. Sukovatyi1.731111153LOct 8 · 08:05I. Sukovatyi3.001191381O. Pohonov1.36131111113LOct 8 · 07:05V. Zharskiy2.3811116113I. Sukovatyi1.53641161LOct 8 · 05:35I. Sukovatyi2.0099100B. Chaikovskyi1.731111123LOct 7 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi1.50112117102V. Zharskiy2.50711611123WOct 7 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.917118101I. Sukovatyi1.8011711123LOct 7 · 15:35I. Sukovatyi2.501151141O. Pohonov1.5013114113WOct 7 · 14:35B. Chaikovskyi1.6176111152I. Sukovatyi2.20111147113WOct 7 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.7312101111113A. Romanenko2.00101251362LOct 7 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.674116111A. Romanenko2.1011911133
A. Romanenko10
LOct 8 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.531115119113A. Romanenko2.3891751192WOct 8 · 08:35V. Zharskiy2.20611481A. Romanenko1.6111611113LOct 8 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501112113A. Romanenko2.5061080LOct 8 · 04:35I. Hrekh2.1011118113A. Romanenko1.67891171LOct 7 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.381159111O. Pohonov1.5391111133LOct 7 · 17:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53911911113A. Romanenko2.3811211862WOct 7 · 15:05I. Hrekh2.0011690A. Romanenko1.731311113WOct 7 · 14:05A. Romanenko1.5011511113V. Zharskiy2.50511681LOct 7 · 13:05I. Sukovatyi1.7312101111113A. Romanenko2.00101251362WOct 7 · 03:00I. Sukovatyi1.674116111A. Romanenko2.1011911133
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