TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko vs Anna Lapa 3-1 · Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup Women
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1155111412119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeAnna Lapa to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAnastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko above · Anna Lapa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Anna Lapa at 65.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko 34–57 Anna Lapa Anastasiia Hordynska-Sheiko has won 34 of their 91 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:3265.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lapa
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
34-57 in 91
Lapa
Wrong
gap of 23 in 91, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hordynska-Sheiko 1298 vs Lapa 1450
Lapa
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hordynska-Sheiko 0% vs Lapa 20%
Lapa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hordynska-Sheiko 20% vs Lapa 40%
Lapa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hordynska-Sheiko -7 · Lapa -1
Hordynska-Sheiko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Lapa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lapa form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHordynska-Sheiko 2.50 / Lapa 1.50
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lapa)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup Women · #13276694
Hordynska-Sheiko2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog24% won 37 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back14% 16 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Lapa1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite67% won 30 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it81% 21 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHordynska-Sheiko2wins
AwayLapa8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLapa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHordynska-Sheiko50%2 of 4
AwayLapa100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hordynska-Sheiko4Lapa6n = 10Lapa took 6 of 10
S2Hordynska-Sheiko3Lapa7n = 10Lapa took 7 of 10
S3Hordynska-Sheiko2Lapa8n = 10Lapa took 8 of 10
S4Hordynska-Sheiko3Lapa2n = 5Hordynska-Sheiko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHordynska-SheikoLapaH − LBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.340.6−6.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHordynska-SheikoLapaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 444 vs 226 / 45331.8%49.9%141 / 444 vs 226 / 453Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LapaHordynska-Sheiko 2.50/Lapa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Lapa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hordynska-Sheiko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LJul 26 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko331110120A. Lapa391312143
LJul 19 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko49117131172A. Lapa51911155113
LJun 27 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko175570A. Lapa331111113
WJun 13 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko4612911143A. Lapa3810115121
LMay 24 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko237970A. Lapa331111113
LMay 16 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko52911151072A. Lapa551181312113
LMay 15 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko29115851A. Lapa4181111113
WMay 9 · 09:25A. Hordynska-Sheiko3712112123A. Lapa4010911101
LApr 24 · 18:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2375110A. Lapa351111133
A. Hordynska-Sheiko10
LOct 11 · 17:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.50620V. Shevchuk1.0711112LOct 11 · 15:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.50511871A. Volgina1.2811911113LOct 11 · 14:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.003760M. Gordeets1.221111103LOct 11 · 12:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.385119101K. Tymchenko1.5311411123LOct 10 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.611111113A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.206590LOct 10 · 17:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko7.0077110V. Shevchuk1.081111133LOct 10 · 16:35A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.4098141172A. Gorchakova1.301111129113LOct 10 · 15:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko4.007990M. Gordeets1.221111113WOct 10 · 13:05A. Hordynska-Sheiko3.25881114113A. Volgina1.33111171292WOct 3 · 18:35K. Tymchenko1.571111951A. Hordynska-Sheiko2.2513811113
A. Lapa10
LOct 11 · 17:35A. Lapa2.38671181A. Volgina1.5311119113WOct 11 · 16:35A. Lapa1.40711119113K. Tymchenko2.7511561192LOct 11 · 15:05A. Lapa3.256590V. Shevchuk1.331111113LOct 11 · 13:05A. Lapa2.1061112672M. Gordeets1.671131011113LOct 4 · 18:35K. Tymchenko2.75139118113A. Lapa1.40111121132WOct 4 · 17:35A. Lapa2.631111113A. Gorchakova1.445270WOct 4 · 16:35A. Lapa3.501111113V. Shevchuk1.286950WOct 4 · 15:05A. Lapa2.20111185113O. Ivchenko1.6194111192LOct 4 · 13:05A. Lapa2.20871181M. Gordeets1.6111115113LOct 2 · 19:05A. Lapa2.5098120A. Gorchakova1.501111143
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