TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko vs Dmytro Kunchurov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1614118116––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched: 77.2% is still 77.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
77.2%
77.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 66 set 3, 11-6 · our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 77.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 14–3 Dmytro Kunchurov Dmytro Kunchurov has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3277.2%Our read75.0%to break even at 1.333
clears by 2.2pp75.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.333 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1105 vs Kunchurov 961
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 100% vs Kunchurov 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 70% vs Kunchurov 40%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko +6 · Kunchurov +1
Mykhalchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Mykhalchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.333 / Kunchurov 3.25
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.2pp
Setka Cup · #13276298
Mykhalchenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 54 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it85% 39 of 46
Kunchurov3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 40 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko7wins
AwayKunchurov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKunchurov50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko6Kunchurov4n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko7Kunchurov3n = 10Mykhalchenko took 7 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko5Kunchurov5n = 10split evenly
S4Mykhalchenko5Kunchurov2n = 7Mykhalchenko took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.1+3.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 213 vs 101 / 25057.8%40.4%123 / 213 vs 101 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.33/Kunchurov 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.2%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 17:00V. Mykhalchenko4611119153D. Kunchurov429911131
LOct 2 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko28107110D. Kunchurov361211133
WSep 25 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko571191111153D. Kunchurov51131168132
WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko4271111133D. Kunchurov341166111
LSep 6 · 09:35V. Mykhalchenko32661191D. Kunchurov4211119113
LSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko4111116672D. Kunchurov49791111113
WAug 29 · 10:30V. Mykhalchenko351113113D. Kunchurov2571170
WAug 28 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko43111110113D. Kunchurov26541251
WAug 23 · 17:30V. Mykhalchenko4211128113D. Kunchurov356101181
WAug 22 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko331111113D. Kunchurov218490
V. Mykhalchenko10
WOct 11 · 09:35O. Ponomarenko1.5771111472V. Mykhalchenko2.25117811113WOct 11 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko1.2811116113O. Riabuha3.50941191WOct 11 · 07:35K. Tsoi5.50851161V. Mykhalchenko1.1311116113WOct 11 · 06:05V. Mykhalchenko1.361111113M. Tkalich3.005650WOct 7 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113O. Efimov4.003660WOct 7 · 17:00D. Kunchurov2.639911131V. Mykhalchenko1.4411119153LOct 7 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.441112511113V. Mykhalchenko2.6341411572WOct 7 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.53113115113O. Miklukha2.3871171172LOct 7 · 13:00O. Stopin1.2511911113V. Mykhalchenko3.75911931LOct 3 · 12:05S. Osipov1.251111113V. Mykhalchenko3.758450
D. Kunchurov10
WOct 11 · 10:35O. Riabuha3.409890D. Kunchurov1.301111113LOct 11 · 09:05K. Tsoi2.1011116113D. Kunchurov1.67991181WOct 11 · 07:05M. Tkalich2.5011880D. Kunchurov1.501311103LOct 11 · 05:05O. Ponomarenko1.501111113D. Kunchurov2.503940LOct 9 · 11:30S. Osipov1.281171112113D. Kunchurov3.5051161492LOct 9 · 10:00D. Kunchurov1.3671171152O. Efimov3.00118117113LOct 9 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko2.2561211113D. Kunchurov1.571110491WOct 9 · 06:00P. Ostrovskyi1.25871181D. Kunchurov3.7511115113LOct 9 · 05:00O. Ponomarenko1.441111113D. Kunchurov2.638880LOct 7 · 17:00D. Kunchurov2.639911131V. Mykhalchenko1.4411119153
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