TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Adamiak vs Szymon Kolasa 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesHSC · Czestochowa
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 13
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811711––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:12 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeSzymon Kolasa to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Adamiak above · Szymon Kolasa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Szymon Kolasa at 63.3%
55 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Adamiak 7–20 Szymon Kolasa Grzegorz Adamiak has won 7 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:1263.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 0.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolasa
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-20 in 27
Kolasa
Correct
gap of 13 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamiak 1651 vs Kolasa 1873
Kolasa
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamiak 0% vs Kolasa 40%
Kolasa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamiak 0% vs Kolasa 50%
Kolasa
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamiak -13 · Kolasa +1
Adamiak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Kolasa) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolasa form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamiak 2.25 / Kolasa 1.571
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Kolasa)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13275818
Adamiak2.25
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 13
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 62 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 102
Kolasa1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 46 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it88% 36 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamiak3wins
AwayKolasa7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolasa leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamiak42.9%3 of 7
AwayKolasa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamiak7Kolasa3n = 10Adamiak took 7 of 10
S2Adamiak4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S3Adamiak4Kolasa6n = 10Kolasa took 6 of 10
S4Adamiak3Kolasa4n = 7Kolasa took 4 of 7
S5Adamiak0Kolasa3n = 3Kolasa took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamiakKolasaA − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.738.2−3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamiakKolasaBasisWin rate · lifetime326 / 773 vs 252 / 46842.2%53.9%326 / 773 vs 252 / 468Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolasaAdamiak 2.25/Kolasa 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Kolasa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolasa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 11 · 04:10G. Adamiak2385100S. Kolasa341111123
LOct 10 · 13:20G. Adamiak4378121152S. Kolasa521111109113
LOct 10 · 08:05G. Adamiak4384111192S. Kolasa49111188113
LSep 6 · 10:00G. Adamiak26117621S. Kolasa3961111113
WSep 5 · 10:25G. Adamiak361411113S. Kolasa2712690
WSep 5 · 03:25G. Adamiak3711114113S. Kolasa36881191
WJul 3 · 09:45G. Adamiak341112113S. Kolasa1511040
LJul 3 · 03:00G. Adamiak30113971S. Kolasa4071111113
LMar 29 · 06:15G. Adamiak31117761S. Kolasa4291111113
LJan 25 · 15:50G. Adamiak4411126962S. Kolasa485101111113
G. Adamiak10
LOct 11 · 10:00K. Kolodziej1.7381111113G. Adamiak2.00119161LOct 11 · 09:20G. Adamiak2.633770T. Spanik1.441111113LOct 11 · 08:30G. Adamiak3.40116991P. Cyrnek1.3071111113LOct 11 · 06:55G. Adamiak2.756470M. Jadczyk1.401111113LOct 11 · 05:40G. Adamiak2.385730T. Spanik1.531111113LOct 11 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.2085100S. Kolasa1.611111123LOct 11 · 03:00G. Adamiak3.759840K. Petas1.251111113LOct 10 · 14:35P. Cyrnek1.3091111133G. Adamiak3.401199111LOct 10 · 13:20G. Adamiak2.5078121152S. Kolasa1.501111109113LOct 10 · 12:05T. Spanik1.5711116113G. Adamiak2.25531131
S. Kolasa10
WOct 11 · 10:25P. Cyrnek1.6151111992S. Kolasa2.20115711113LOct 11 · 09:00K. Kolodziej2.1041111113S. Kolasa1.67119631WOct 11 · 07:45S. Kolasa2.10811511113M. Jadczyk1.6711711882LOct 11 · 06:30S. Kolasa1.83811761T. Spanik1.8311911113LOct 11 · 05:15S. Kolasa1.80119681K. Petas1.9151111113WOct 11 · 04:10G. Adamiak2.2085100S. Kolasa1.611111123WOct 11 · 03:25S. Kolasa2.10981111113P. Cyrnek1.6711115892LOct 10 · 14:10K. Kolodziej2.00114134113S. Kolasa1.73811111172WOct 10 · 13:20G. Adamiak2.5078121152S. Kolasa1.501111109113LOct 10 · 11:15K. Petas1.911213113S. Kolasa1.80101190
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