Frantisek Briza vs Milan Kolar 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProA14 · Liberec

Played Oct 12Finished

Frantisek Briza

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115911411115118

Milan Kolar

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:48 and never touched: 64.4% is still 64.4%

Graded at full time

Milan Kolar to win

64.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Milan Kolar below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 11-8

Point 86 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Milan Kolar at 64.4%

86 points played in total.

H2H Frantisek Briza 45–81 Milan Kolar Frantisek Briza has won 45 of their 126 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kolar

Briza 2.38/Kolar 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

64.4%

Kolar · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Briza won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 00:48

64.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 0.8pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Kolar

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

45-81 in 126

Kolar

Wrong

gap of 36 in 126, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Briza 1347 vs Kolar 1494

Kolar

Wrong

both rated, 147 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Briza 0% vs Kolar 80%

Kolar

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Briza 30% vs Kolar 70%

Kolar

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Briza -5 · Kolar +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Kolar) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kolar: form 80%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBriza 2.375 / Kolar 1.533

Signal prob.36% / 64%

Edge (Kolar)-0.8pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBriza4wins

AwayKolar6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderKolar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBriza66.7%2 of 3

AwayKolar71.4%5 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Briza3Kolar7n = 10Kolar took 7 of 10

S2Briza3Kolar7n = 10Kolar took 7 of 10

S3Briza5Kolar5n = 10split evenly

S4Briza3Kolar1n = 4Briza took 3 of 4

S5Briza2Kolar2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away440%

These 10 meetings

MetricBrizaKolarB − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.236.2−3.0per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrizaKolarBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 820 vs 413 / 81944.4%50.4%364 / 820 vs 413 / 819Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match

Czech Liga Pro · #13274926

Briza2.38

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog33% won 83 of 252

Down 0–1, comes back22% 32 of 144

Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76

Kolar1.53

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite63% won 106 of 169

Up 2–0, closes it88% 59 of 67

Up 1–0, closes it78% 83 of 107

Frantisek Briza vs Milan Kolar 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Frantisek Briza vs Milan Kolar 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.