TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Adamus vs Patryk Mecik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1155117111012––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:24 and never touched: 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1155117111012––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 25–19 Patryk Mecik Patryk Mecik has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2458.0%Our read61.3%to break even at 1.63
short by 3.3pp61.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.63 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (57%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
25-19 in 44
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1321 vs Mecik 1262
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Mecik 40%
Mecik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Mecik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -4 · Mecik +1
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Adamus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.63 / Mecik 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Adamus)-3.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13273992
Adamus1.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 10)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 201 of 378
Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 193
Mecik2.15
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Oct 03) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 105 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back20% 32 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayMecik3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayMecik20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus6Mecik4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S4Adamus8Mecik1n = 9Adamus took 8 of 9
S5Adamus4Mecik3n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusMecikA − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.540.4+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1623 vs 320 / 80348.6%39.9%789 / 1623 vs 320 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.63/Mecik 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mecik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 06:45M. Adamus45712411113P. Mecik47111011962
LAug 2 · 07:35M. Adamus47111011962P. Mecik47912411113
LJul 18 · 07:10M. Adamus4511781182P. Mecik50811119113
WJun 26 · 15:05M. Adamus331111113P. Mecik259970
WJun 26 · 09:05M. Adamus49711911113P. Mecik4311711862
WJun 22 · 07:55M. Adamus49881111113P. Mecik3911116472
LJun 4 · 16:50M. Adamus4481161182P. Mecik48116119113
WMay 11 · 10:20M. Adamus521110911113P. Mecik4791211692
WApr 3 · 03:35M. Adamus4112117113P. Mecik351091151
WJan 2 · 10:05M. Adamus4071111113P. Mecik23114351
M. Adamus10
WOct 11 · 04:25R. Adach2.75711121282M. Adamus1.371181014113LOct 10 · 04:40M. Adamus2.005890J. Badura1.701111113LOct 10 · 03:05R. Szymik1.661111113M. Adamus2.103750LOct 10 · 02:20T. Lojtek1.8511116113M. Adamus1.80931181LOct 10 · 01:30M. Adamus1.6491090J. Michalski2.141112113WOct 10 · 00:20M. Adamus1.9581111113R. Wiza1.75119781LOct 9 · 22:40M. Adamus2.20971113112J. Badura1.601111811133WOct 9 · 21:05R. Szymik1.854860M. Adamus1.801111113LOct 9 · 20:20R. Wiza1.85111111113M. Adamus1.85991371LOct 9 · 19:30M. Adamus1.39711991J. Michalski2.7911411113
P. Mecik10
WOct 3 · 08:20T. Lojtek1.8511311882P. Mecik1.80911411113LOct 3 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.62111168113P. Mecik2.1861111192LOct 3 · 05:35M. Koczyba1.751111113P. Mecik1.956250LOct 3 · 04:50P. Polok1.351111113P. Mecik2.955540WOct 3 · 03:10K. Adamus1.54611861P. Mecik2.2511711113LSep 26 · 08:20P. Mecik1.83911541T. Lojtek1.8311311113LSep 26 · 06:45M. Adamus1.90712411113P. Mecik1.80111011962LSep 26 · 06:00K. Adamus1.411111143P. Mecik2.7079120WSep 26 · 05:10P. Mecik1.60128119113R. Adach2.15101181172LSep 26 · 04:00P. Mecik2.159960R. Idaczyk1.621111113
Upcoming Matches
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P. Mecik
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