TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Adamus vs Jaroslaw Badura 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811911––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
511811911––––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 15–12 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Badura beat Adamus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Badura 1.70
TT Elite Series · #13272958
Adamus2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 179 of 423
Down 0–1, comes back23% 51 of 227
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 127
Badura1.70
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite75% won 97 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it88% 70 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus6wins
AwayBadura4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwayBadura75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Badura4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus0Badura10n = 10Badura took 10 of 10
S3Adamus7Badura3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Adamus4Badura5n = 9Badura took 5 of 9
S5Adamus5Badura1n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusBaduraA − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.544.5−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1622 vs 326 / 58548.6%55.7%789 / 1622 vs 326 / 585Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraAdamus 2.00/Badura 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
0–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 9 · 22:40M. Adamus51971113112J. Badura541111811133
LSep 19 · 09:05M. Adamus32891231J. Badura43111110113
LAug 27 · 11:55M. Adamus187740J. Badura331111113
WAug 27 · 05:55M. Adamus521161112123J. Badura52811914102
WJul 12 · 22:25M. Adamus46751111123J. Badura49111189102
WJul 12 · 20:00M. Adamus46115811113J. Badura4251111872
LJul 5 · 22:00M. Adamus4211141251J. Badura4761614113
WJul 5 · 18:00M. Adamus561181115113J. Badura5261191792
WJun 15 · 00:25M. Adamus3811511113J. Badura33711691
WMay 24 · 22:25M. Adamus44114117113J. Badura4041181162
M. Adamus10
LOct 10 · 03:05R. Szymik1.661111113M. Adamus2.103750LOct 10 · 02:20T. Lojtek1.8511116113M. Adamus1.80931181LOct 10 · 01:30M. Adamus1.6491090J. Michalski2.141112113WOct 10 · 00:20M. Adamus1.9581111113R. Wiza1.75119781LOct 9 · 22:40M. Adamus2.20971113112J. Badura1.601111811133WOct 9 · 21:05R. Szymik1.854860M. Adamus1.801111113LOct 9 · 20:20R. Wiza1.85111111113M. Adamus1.85991371LOct 9 · 19:30M. Adamus1.39711991J. Michalski2.7911411113WOct 9 · 18:20M. Adamus1.80135911113T. Lojtek1.90111111532WOct 7 · 08:20M. Adamus1.531112118133J. Nowak2.38614511112
J. Badura10
LOct 10 · 03:55J. Michalski3.1011114113J. Badura1.30831191LOct 10 · 01:55R. Szymik1.988111011113J. Badura1.7511312732WOct 10 · 01:10R. Wiza2.35510100J. Badura1.521112123WOct 9 · 23:30T. Lojtek2.557116111J. Badura1.4511211133WOct 9 · 22:40M. Adamus2.20971113112J. Badura1.601111811133WOct 9 · 21:55J. Michalski3.56311130J. Badura1.251113153WOct 9 · 19:55R. Szymik2.455111171J. Badura1.4911135113WOct 9 · 19:10T. Lojtek2.35681231J. Badura1.54111110113WOct 9 · 17:30R. Wiza2.406129101J. Badura1.50111011123WOct 8 · 16:20J. Badura1.4211411113J. Kaczmarek2.68811541
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