TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vojtech Kral vs Josef Hanacek 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Vojtech Kral
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–4Last 5Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711115311––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:47 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Kral above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 66 set 4, 3-11 · our read held Josef Hanacek at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:4758.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hanacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kral 1187 vs Hanacek 1438
Hanacek
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kral 20% vs Hanacek 40%
Hanacek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kral 20% vs Hanacek 70%
Hanacek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kral -3 · Hanacek +1
Kral
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Hanacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKral 2.25 / Hanacek 1.571
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hanacek)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13271403
Kral2.25
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 2 of 5
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Hanacek1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 69 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 46 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKralHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 5 vs 251 / 49020%51.2%1 / 5 vs 251 / 490Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekKral 2.25/Hanacek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hanacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Kral5
J. Hanacek10
WOct 10 · 09:30K. Polak2.105117111J. Hanacek1.6711911133LOct 9 · 16:39J. Hanacek2.00116111132E. Ondracek1.73131166113WOct 9 · 16:00J. Hanacek2.20911811113T. Hanke1.6111511672LOct 9 · 14:30E. Ondracek1.73111112113J. Hanacek2.00861471LOct 9 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.61101111123J. Hanacek2.201274101WOct 5 · 08:33J. Hanacek1.7311916113A. Sys2.005111491WOct 5 · 07:30A. Sys1.7361090J. Hanacek2.001112113WOct 5 · 07:00J. Hanacek1.83119612113O. Plyska1.83711111092WOct 5 · 06:00J. Hanacek1.57761311143M. Vorel2.251111117122WOct 3 · 16:40J. Hanacek1.6013116113M. Vorel2.201111181
Upcoming Matches
V. Kral
J. Hanacek
Nothing scheduled
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