Vojtech Kral vs Adam Dvoracek 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Oct 10Finished

Vojtech Kral

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

1–3Last 4Lost last 2

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

8114111210411––

Adam Dvoracek

Away

1.53

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:56 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%

Graded at full time

Adam Dvoracek to win

60.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingVojtech Kral above · Adam Dvoracek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 4-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 4-11

Point 71 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Adam Dvoracek at 60.8%

71 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:56

60.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533

short by 4.4pp

65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Dvoracek

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Form (L5)

Kral 25% vs Dvoracek 80%

Dvoracek

Correct

55pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kral 25% vs Dvoracek 70%

Dvoracek

Correct

45pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kral -2 · Dvoracek +4

Dvoracek

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Dvoracek) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Dvoracek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKral 2.375 / Dvoracek 1.533

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Dvoracek)-4.4pp (anti-value)

Setka Cup · #13270626

Kral2.38

25%won 1 of 4 · last 10

Last match: 16 days ago (Sep 24) · back after a break

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 2 of 4

As underdog

Fewer than 10 matches in this role

Dvoracek1.53

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 09)

Won last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite59% won 71 of 121

Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32

Up 1–0, closes it76% 50 of 66

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKralDvoracekBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 4 vs 254 / 48425%52.5%1 / 4 vs 254 / 484Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Dvoracek

Kral 2.38/Dvoracek 1.53

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.8%

Dvoracek · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Dvoracek won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Kral4