Vojtech Kral vs Pavel Moulis 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 24Finished

Vojtech Kral

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

0–1Last 1Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116117611119––

Pavel Moulis

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Vojtech Kral to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVojtech Kral above · Pavel Moulis below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Kral at 54.0%

72 points played in total.

H2H Vojtech Kral 1–0 Pavel Moulis Pavel Moulis has won 0 of their 1 meetings.

Last 1 · 1–0Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:12

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kral

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-0 in 1

—

Too close

1 played, under the floor of 3

Form (L5)

Kral 0% vs Moulis 60%

Moulis

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kral 0% vs Moulis 60%

Moulis

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kral -1 · Moulis -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kral)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kral form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKral 1.73 / Moulis 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kral)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13185829

Kral1.73

0%won 0 of 1 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

0%takes the first set · 0 of 1

Moulis2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog38% won 23 of 60

Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 1 meeting

HomeKral1wins

AwayMoulis0wins

Kral leads 1–0.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed

3–0Straight, home0

3–1Four sets, home1

3–2Decider, home0

2–3Decider, away0

1–3Four sets, away0

0–3Straight, away0

This 1 meeting

MetricKralMoulisK − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKralMoulisBasisWin rate · lifetime0 / 1 vs 196 / 4510%43.5%0 / 1 vs 196 / 451Avg sets wonper match1.01.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kral

Kral 1.73/Moulis 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kral · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kral won

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Vojtech Kral vs Pavel Moulis 3-1 · Setka Cup

Decision Summary

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Vojtech Kral vs Pavel Moulis 3-1 · Setka Cup

Decision Summary

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