TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Pavel Moulis vs Vojtech Kral 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
3111210114117––
Vojtech Kral
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–2Last 3Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Vojtech Kral below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7
69 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 0–1 Vojtech Kral Pavel Moulis has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kral beat Moulis 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kral)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (33%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.50 / Kral 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kral)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13188182
Moulis2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 23 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Kral1.50
33%won 1 of 3 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
33%takes the first set · 1 of 3
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMoulis0wins
AwayKral1wins
Kral leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMoulisKralM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match33.039.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisKralBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 452 vs 0 / 343.4%33.3%196 / 452 vs 0 / 3Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KralMoulis 2.50/Kral 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Kral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Moulis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 24 · 07:00P. Moulis33671191V. Kral3911116113
P. Moulis10
LSep 24 · 08:00J. Puk1.6111811113P. Moulis2.20911861LSep 24 · 07:00V. Kral1.7311116113P. Moulis2.00671191LSep 24 · 05:30M. Snizek1.5011511113P. Moulis2.50211161WSep 23 · 09:09P. Moulis2.63111110113L. Krutina1.44841231WSep 23 · 08:00M. Holub2.20881111102P. Moulis1.61111188123WSep 23 · 07:00F. Fryml2.00511611152P. Moulis1.73116119173LSep 23 · 05:30L. Krutina1.44121138113P. Moulis2.63109111192WSep 22 · 13:05P. Moulis2.101111113J. Jnr1.675820WSep 22 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5761112662P. Moulis2.251161011113LSep 22 · 11:00M. Vorel1.3011815113P. Moulis3.406111361
V. Kral3
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