TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Kowolowski vs Tomas Kraninger 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA16 · Havlickuv Brod
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4118111311119113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:59 and never touched: 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Kowolowski to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Kowolowski above · Tomas Kraninger below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 · our read held Miroslav Kowolowski at 69.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Kowolowski 3–2 Tomas Kraninger Tomas Kraninger has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5969.5%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 1.9pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kowolowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowolowski 1445 vs Kraninger 1350
Kowolowski
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowolowski 40% vs Kraninger 20%
Kowolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowolowski 30% vs Kraninger 50%
Kraninger
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowolowski +2 · Kraninger -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% · Clear lean (leans Kowolowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kraninger form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowolowski 1.40 / Kraninger 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Kowolowski)-1.9pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13269468
Kowolowski1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 85 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it69% 59 of 86
Kraninger2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 21 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKowolowski3wins
AwayKraninger2wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKowolowski leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKraninger50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowolowski1Kraninger4n = 5Kraninger took 4 of 5
S2Kowolowski2Kraninger3n = 5Kraninger took 3 of 5
S3Kowolowski3Kraninger2n = 5Kowolowski took 3 of 5
S4Kowolowski2Kraninger1n = 3Kowolowski took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricKowolowskiKraningerKowolowski − KraningerBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.034.8−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowolowskiKraningerBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 316 vs 118 / 24854.8%47.6%173 / 316 vs 118 / 248Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KowolowskiKowolowski 1.40/Kraninger 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Kowolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 20 · 17:10M. Kowolowski3741111113T. Kraninger28114581
WSep 20 · 14:30M. Kowolowski3961111113T. Kraninger33118951
LMay 22 · 20:00M. Kowolowski2696110T. Kraninger351111133
LMay 16 · 21:00M. Kowolowski198560T. Kraninger331111113
WMay 16 · 20:00M. Kowolowski44127113113T. Kraninger45101191142
M. Kowolowski10
WOct 10 · 07:30M. Kolek3.2511961272M. Kowolowski1.335111110113WOct 10 · 06:00M. Kowolowski1.401111123A. Virag2.7587100LOct 6 · 20:58I. Taichman2.001114113M. Kowolowski1.7351240LOct 6 · 20:00M. Kowolowski1.6118771162R. Guliak2.201611118113LOct 6 · 19:30M. Jasek2.381111113M. Kowolowski1.535680LOct 6 · 18:00M. Kowolowski1.539460I. Taichman2.381111113LOct 5 · 08:58R. Adam1.61911411113M. Kowolowski2.2011811682WOct 5 · 08:30R. Adam1.50111110582M. Kowolowski2.50471211113LOct 5 · 07:30M. Kowolowski1.57168551M. Blejchar2.25141111113LOct 5 · 06:30E. Gebek1.671412113M. Kowolowski2.10121090
T. Kraninger10
LOct 10 · 07:00A. Virag2.10111188113T. Kraninger1.6778111132WOct 10 · 06:30T. Kraninger1.6711115113M. Kolek2.10861171LSep 28 · 09:00T. Kraninger1.5321191192A. Virag2.38119118113LSep 28 · 08:00T. Kraninger1.445511121M. Kolek2.6311116143LSep 28 · 07:30J. Stach2.2011311113T. Kraninger1.61711991WSep 28 · 06:00T. Kraninger1.571111113A. Virag2.255340WSep 25 · 21:30T. Kraninger1.501111113M. Jasek2.405580LSep 25 · 20:30R. Kvasnicka2.50411118113T. Kraninger1.5011891192WSep 25 · 19:30T. Kraninger1.571111113M. Jasek2.259990WSep 25 · 18:30J. Peter2.25813127102T. Kraninger1.5711111011123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.