TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Igor Szymanski vs Wojciech Wojtaszczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 1 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:16 and never touched: 85.8% is still 85.8%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
85.8%
85.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 85.8%
60 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 0–9 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1685.8%Our read87.6%to break even at 1.142
short by 1.8pp87.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.142 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1200 vs Wojtaszczyk 1414
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 214 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 20%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Wojtaszczyk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -2 · Wojtaszczyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 5.00 / Wojtaszczyk 1.142
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13268718
Szymanski5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 95 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 302
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 218
Wojtaszczyk1.14
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 374 of 544
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it85% 292 of 345
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymanski0wins
AwayWojtaszczyk9wins
Wojtaszczyk leads 9–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWojtaszczyk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski2Wojtaszczyk7n = 9Wojtaszczyk took 7 of 9
S2Szymanski0Wojtaszczyk9n = 9Wojtaszczyk took 9 of 9
S3Szymanski3Wojtaszczyk6n = 9Wojtaszczyk took 6 of 9
S4Szymanski0Wojtaszczyk5n = 5Wojtaszczyk took 5 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away556%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymanskiWojtaszczykS − WBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match27.338.4−11.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 509 vs 587 / 88124.2%66.6%123 / 509 vs 587 / 881Avg sets wonper match1.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykSzymanski 5.00/Wojtaszczyk 1.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 13:30I. Szymanski34158921W. Wojtaszczyk46131111113
LAug 31 · 07:20I. Szymanski33591181W. Wojtaszczyk4111118113
LJul 13 · 09:25I. Szymanski2366110W. Wojtaszczyk351111133
LJul 13 · 03:25I. Szymanski236980W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LJul 9 · 12:15I. Szymanski29661161W. Wojtaszczyk4111118113
LJul 9 · 08:35I. Szymanski35119691W. Wojtaszczyk4181111113
LJun 16 · 14:40I. Szymanski229670W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LJun 16 · 06:05I. Szymanski156360W. Wojtaszczyk331111113
LJun 13 · 05:10I. Szymanski32561291W. Wojtaszczyk43111110113
I. Szymanski10
LOct 10 · 12:40M. Lach1.141111113I. Szymanski5.003370LOct 10 · 11:50J. Wieczerzak1.1311117113I. Szymanski5.50961181WOct 10 · 11:00I. Szymanski4.3311811113S. Szostok1.20411691LOct 10 · 09:50I. Szymanski3.0011114942Z. Sobkow1.36781111113WOct 10 · 08:20I. Szymanski1.2171513113J. Jesiek4.0011131181LOct 10 · 06:45M. Koczyba1.551012111113I. Szymanski2.32121011492WOct 10 · 06:00K. Adamus1.529121151I. Szymanski2.3011146113LOct 10 · 05:10I. Szymanski4.458540K. Hetnar1.151111113LOct 10 · 04:00I. Szymanski2.081510118112W. Pytlas1.681312611133LOct 7 · 01:45J. Badura1.20181111113I. Szymanski4.33209561
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LOct 10 · 13:30S. Szostok1.6191111113W. Wojtaszczyk2.20113981LOct 10 · 11:25M. Lach1.83151114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.831391661WOct 10 · 10:35Z. Sobkow2.50111151052W. Wojtaszczyk1.50861112113LOct 10 · 09:00J. Wieczerzak2.251411113W. Wojtaszczyk1.5712740LOct 10 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak1.6711117123W. Wojtaszczyk2.107311101WOct 10 · 07:20S. Szostok2.00811121392W. Wojtaszczyk1.731141411113WOct 10 · 05:15M. Lach1.917711111W. Wojtaszczyk1.8011119133LOct 10 · 04:30G. Sawicki3.0011114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.36761191LOct 10 · 03:00Z. Sobkow2.631111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.444880WOct 4 · 13:55W. Wojtaszczyk1.50313511113D. Swider2.50111111892
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