TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Kosar vs Frantisek Briza 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811311311––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeVaclav Kosar to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Kosar above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-9
Point 45 set 3, 3-9 · our read held Vaclav Kosar at 54.3%
45 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vaclav Kosar 1–0 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:2454.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.3pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kosar
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kosar 1498 vs Briza 1369
Kosar
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosar 60% vs Briza 40%
Kosar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosar 70% vs Briza 40%
Kosar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosar +1 · Briza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kosar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosar 1.80 / Briza 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosar)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13268232
Kosar1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 09)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 52 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it86% 44 of 51
Briza1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 81 of 247
Down 0–1, comes back22% 31 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKosar1wins
AwayBriza0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKosar leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKosarBrizaK − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.049.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosarBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 423 vs 365 / 81453.4%44.8%226 / 423 vs 365 / 814Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KosarKosar 1.80/Briza 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Kosar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Briza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 27 · 11:30V. Kosar50141148133F. Briza491241111112
V. Kosar10
WOct 10 · 19:00M. Kolar1.50111117772V. Kosar2.50761911113WOct 9 · 02:58T. Andrle1.3011760V. Kosar3.401311113LOct 9 · 02:30V. Kosar2.201165101M. Smrcek1.6161111123WOct 9 · 01:30P. Picek1.67101181182V. Kosar2.10126117113LOct 9 · 00:00V. Kosar2.639590T. Andrle1.441111113WOct 8 · 23:00R. Bartunek1.911111851V. Kosar1.8071311113LOct 1 · 03:30V. Kosar1.7251191362O. Fejtek2.001191111113WOct 1 · 02:00V. Kosar2.201111133R. Bartunek1.6176110WOct 1 · 01:00V. Kosar2.10111111113O. Fejtek1.67137861WOct 1 · 00:00J. Didi1.673119101V. Kosar2.1011811123
F. Briza10
LOct 10 · 17:30Y. Holovatiuk1.4561511123F. Briza2.5511138101WOct 10 · 16:30T. Kolenic1.6711411101F. Briza2.1011113123WOct 10 · 15:30F. Briza1.731111113J. Didi2.003810LOct 10 · 14:30Y. Holovatiuk1.401171110123F. Briza2.75911912102LOct 7 · 02:58A. Svoboda1.4481111113F. Briza2.63113721LOct 7 · 02:00M. Kolar1.571111113F. Briza2.259760LOct 7 · 00:30F. Briza2.501011571A. Svoboda1.5012611113WOct 6 · 23:00F. Briza2.501111113A. Mikuska1.505660WOct 6 · 22:00V. Postelt1.2891040F. Briza3.501112113LOct 6 · 16:58T. Kolenic1.80119911133F. Briza1.91711116112
Upcoming Matches
V. Kosar
F. Briza
Oct 10 · 20:30F. Briza2.38M. Kolar1.53—Oct 11 · 18:30F. Briza2.75A. Svoboda1.40—Oct 11 · 19:30F. Briza2.60Y. Holovatiuk1.45—Oct 11 · 20:30F. Briza2.10T. Kolenic1.65—Oct 11 · 22:30F. Briza1.83V. Kosar1.83—Oct 12 · 00:00F. Briza2.75A. Svoboda1.40—Oct 12 · 01:00F. Briza2.38M. Kolar1.53—Oct 12 · 02:00F. Briza1.53M. Smrcek2.38—
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