TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Picek vs Vaclav Kosar 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012116811117811
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:16 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Picek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Picek above · Vaclav Kosar below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 95 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Petr Picek at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:1654.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 6.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Picek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Picek 1430 vs Kosar 1490
Kosar
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Picek 40% vs Kosar 60%
Kosar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picek 40% vs Kosar 70%
Kosar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picek +2 · Kosar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Picek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosar form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicek 1.666 / Kosar 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kosar)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13259801
Picek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 73 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Kosar2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog53% won 74 of 141
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicekKosarBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 555 vs 224 / 42049.6%53.3%275 / 555 vs 224 / 420Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PicekPicek 1.67/Kosar 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Picek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kosar won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Picek10
LOct 9 · 03:30M. Smrcek2.001110411113P. Picek1.7351211782WOct 9 · 00:30R. Bartunek3.253350P. Picek1.331111113WOct 8 · 23:30M. Smrcek2.0011811632P. Picek1.73711811113LOct 8 · 22:30P. Picek1.7311911642T. Andrle2.00811711113LOct 6 · 03:00P. Picek1.44791181T. Andrle2.6311117113LOct 6 · 02:00P. Picek1.7311711652M. Smrcek2.00711711113WOct 6 · 01:00P. Picek1.831111113T. Andrle1.837960LOct 6 · 00:00O. Fejtek1.5311911113P. Picek2.38811781WOct 5 · 22:30J. Steffan1.839890P. Picek1.831111113LOct 2 · 03:00P. Picek2.758560M. Placek1.401111113
V. Kosar10
WOct 9 · 02:58T. Andrle1.3011760V. Kosar3.401311113LOct 9 · 02:30V. Kosar2.201165101M. Smrcek1.6161111123LOct 9 · 00:00V. Kosar2.639590T. Andrle1.441111113WOct 8 · 23:00R. Bartunek1.911111851V. Kosar1.8071311113LOct 1 · 03:30V. Kosar1.7251191362O. Fejtek2.001191111113WOct 1 · 02:00V. Kosar2.201111133R. Bartunek1.6176110WOct 1 · 01:00V. Kosar2.10111111113O. Fejtek1.67137861WOct 1 · 00:00J. Didi1.673119101V. Kosar2.1011811123WSep 30 · 22:30A. Svoboda1.5391211101V. Kosar2.3811146123WSep 28 · 12:58V. Kosar1.73131611113J. Novotny2.001118991
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