TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Richard Krejci 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
211811115117118
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Richard Krejci below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8
85 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 4–6 Richard Krejci Petr Zmuda has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zmuda beat Krejci 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejci form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.80 / Krejci 1.909
Czech Liga Pro · #13267375
Zmuda1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 73 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59
Krejci1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 37 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back25% 11 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmuda4wins
AwayKrejci6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKrejci leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmuda25%1 of 4
AwayKrejci50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda4Krejci6n = 10Krejci took 6 of 10
S2Zmuda5Krejci5n = 10split evenly
S3Zmuda6Krejci4n = 10Zmuda took 6 of 10
S4Zmuda5Krejci4n = 9Zmuda took 5 of 9
S5Zmuda2Krejci4n = 6Krejci took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmudaKrejciZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.841.7+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaKrejciBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 274 vs 197 / 37151.5%53.1%141 / 274 vs 197 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.80/Krejci 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 01:30P. Zmuda45121111113R. Krejci23143331
LOct 5 · 02:30P. Zmuda4611881182R. Krejci45911113113
LSep 30 · 00:00P. Zmuda31911831R. Krejci4211911113
LSep 22 · 02:00P. Zmuda5499161192R. Krejci511111144113
LSep 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda461181891R. Krejci4641120113
LSep 21 · 02:30P. Zmuda47614111242R. Krejci531116510113
WJul 27 · 00:30P. Zmuda331111113R. Krejci198650
WJul 24 · 23:00P. Zmuda48491111133R. Krejci45111166112
WJul 21 · 03:30P. Zmuda49711119113R. Krejci4011821182
LJul 21 · 00:00P. Zmuda49111387102R. Krejci538111111123
P. Zmuda10
WOct 9 · 01:30P. Zmuda1.91121111113R. Krejci1.80143331WOct 9 · 00:30V. Postelt2.388450P. Zmuda1.531111113LOct 8 · 23:30R. Pavelka1.8011911113P. Zmuda1.91511791WOct 8 · 22:30P. Zmuda1.57101111113P. Fojt2.25127371WOct 8 · 13:30P. Zmuda1.8041111113J. Trefny1.91115851WOct 8 · 12:00J. Plachy2.75116481P. Zmuda1.4091111113LOct 8 · 11:00J. Trefny2.359111011113P. Zmuda1.5411312342WOct 8 · 10:30P. Zmuda1.7311811113M. Vedmoch2.00511321WOct 8 · 08:58P. Zmuda1.50101411113J. Plachy2.501212681WOct 8 · 08:30P. Zmuda1.501211113J. Plachy2.5010340
R. Krejci10
WOct 9 · 02:30R. Krejci1.671111113R. Pavelka2.105260LOct 9 · 01:30P. Zmuda1.91121111113R. Krejci1.80143331LOct 9 · 00:00R. Krejci1.2271151142P. Fojt4.00116115113WOct 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.759690R. Krejci1.401111113LOct 8 · 21:00R. Krejci1.917470K. Kapras1.801111113WOct 8 · 20:00M. Volf1.6711148692R. Krejci2.109121111113LOct 8 · 19:00K. Kapras1.831111510123R. Krejci1.83761112102LOct 8 · 18:30R. Krejci2.1071080M. Bittner1.671112113WOct 5 · 03:02R. Pavelka1.915750R. Krejci1.801111113WOct 5 · 02:30R. Krejci2.00911113113P. Zmuda1.7311881182
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