TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Zmuda vs Jiri Plachy 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210113114––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:24 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timePetr Zmuda to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Zmuda above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 51 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Petr Zmuda at 65.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Petr Zmuda 11–8 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2465.7%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 1.0pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zmuda
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Zmuda
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zmuda 1529 vs Plachy 1433
Zmuda
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zmuda 40% vs Plachy 20%
Zmuda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zmuda 20% vs Plachy 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zmuda -3 · Plachy -1
Zmuda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Zmuda) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZmuda 1.50 / Plachy 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zmuda)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13259165
Zmuda1.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 73 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it85% 50 of 59
Plachy2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 143 of 356
Down 0–1, comes back21% 42 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZmuda6wins
AwayPlachy4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZmuda leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZmuda80%4 of 5
AwayPlachy60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zmuda5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Zmuda7Plachy3n = 10Zmuda took 7 of 10
S3Zmuda4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S4Zmuda6Plachy2n = 8Zmuda took 6 of 8
S5Zmuda2Plachy3n = 5Plachy took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZmudaPlachyZ − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.137.6+3.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZmudaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 264 vs 737 / 159850.4%46.1%133 / 264 vs 737 / 1598Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZmudaZmuda 1.50/Plachy 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Zmuda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zmuda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 07:30P. Zmuda49136118113J. Plachy40111151122
WOct 1 · 07:30P. Zmuda4291111113J. Plachy33115981
LSep 23 · 06:30P. Zmuda4171131192J. Plachy47119115113
WAug 2 · 18:30P. Zmuda331111113J. Plachy198830
WJul 20 · 00:00P. Zmuda4211119113J. Plachy28921161
WJul 10 · 06:30P. Zmuda3961111113J. Plachy27116551
WJul 9 · 00:00P. Zmuda551111616113J. Plachy5159111882
LJul 7 · 13:00P. Zmuda4311771172J. Plachy49711119113
LJul 7 · 10:00P. Zmuda4081171132J. Plachy47116118113
LJul 7 · 06:30P. Zmuda2711880J. Plachy351311113
P. Zmuda10
WOct 8 · 08:58P. Zmuda1.50101411113J. Plachy2.501212681LOct 8 · 07:00P. Zmuda1.53951391J. Trefny2.38111111113LOct 8 · 06:00M. Vedmoch2.381112143P. Zmuda1.53710120LOct 5 · 21:30P. Zmuda2.10111284102T. Janata1.658101111123WOct 5 · 20:00P. Zmuda2.3881111113T. Janata1.53116671WOct 5 · 19:30M. Vedmoch3.0081113992P. Zmuda1.361181111113LOct 5 · 18:00P. Zmuda2.20511481K. Brozhik1.6111811113LOct 5 · 02:30R. Krejci2.00911113113P. Zmuda1.7311881182LOct 5 · 01:00R. Pavelka1.8371111113P. Zmuda1.83115241LOct 4 · 23:30P. Zmuda2.25751191M. Chlebecek1.5711117113
J. Plachy10
LOct 8 · 08:58P. Zmuda1.50101411113J. Plachy2.501212681LOct 8 · 07:30J. Plachy2.389560M. Vedmoch1.531111113WOct 8 · 06:30J. Trefny1.61911971J. Plachy2.2011511113LOct 7 · 21:03J. Dedek1.911191111113J. Plachy1.8061151342LOct 7 · 20:30J. Dedek2.50711116113J. Plachy1.5011761132LOct 7 · 19:30J. Plachy1.737121181J. Prokupek2.0011149113LOct 7 · 18:30M. Vedmoch1.731111113J. Plachy2.003880LOct 7 · 16:59M. Sedlak1.531091112123J. Plachy2.381211410102LOct 7 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.53851111113J. Plachy2.3811119392LOct 7 · 15:30J. Plachy2.38411100J. Trefny1.531113123
Upcoming Matches
P. Zmuda
J. Plachy
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.