TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolbasenko vs Vitalii S Marushchak 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210117117––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
How it is goingOleksandr Kolbasenko above · Vitalii S Marushchak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolbasenko 13–33 Vitalii S Marushchak Oleksandr Kolbasenko has won 13 of their 46 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Marushchak beat Kolbasenko 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marushchak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolbasenko 2.50 / Marushchak 1.50
Setka Cup · #13265559
Kolbasenko2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 20 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Marushchak1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 86 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 51 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it83% 68 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolbasenko2wins
AwayMarushchak8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMarushchak leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolbasenko40%2 of 5
AwayMarushchak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolbasenko5Marushchak5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolbasenko3Marushchak7n = 10Marushchak took 7 of 10
S3Kolbasenko3Marushchak7n = 10Marushchak took 7 of 10
S4Kolbasenko0Marushchak6n = 6Marushchak took 6 of 6
S5Kolbasenko2Marushchak3n = 5Marushchak took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolbasenkoMarushchakK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.242.2−9.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolbasenkoMarushchakBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 335 vs 326 / 65052.8%50.2%177 / 335 vs 326 / 650Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MarushchakKolbasenko 2.50/Marushchak 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Kolbasenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 8 · 14:00O. Kolbasenko4212119732V. Marushchak491061111113
LOct 5 · 14:30O. Kolbasenko47111195112V. Marushchak49681111133
LSep 16 · 11:05O. Kolbasenko186750V. Marushchak331111113
LSep 14 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko185580V. Marushchak331111113
LSep 8 · 17:10O. Kolbasenko105140V. Marushchak331111113
WSep 7 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko48117117123V. Marushchak46811611102
WAug 24 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko44115116113V. Marushchak4491161172
LAug 17 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko3812112492V. Marushchak521091111113
LAug 10 · 15:10O. Kolbasenko4581215101V. Marushchak50111413123
LAug 3 · 11:10O. Kolbasenko227870V. Marushchak331111113
O. Kolbasenko10
WOct 8 · 16:00O. Kolbasenko1.44981111123A. Hrabskyi2.63111158102WOct 8 · 15:00V. Voronenko2.7581161252O. Kolbasenko1.401161110113LOct 8 · 14:00V. Marushchak1.441061111113O. Kolbasenko2.6312119732WOct 8 · 12:30A. Lievshin2.107617111O. Kolbasenko1.67111115133LOct 5 · 18:00P. Plakushchyi3.7511117113O. Kolbasenko1.25951161WOct 5 · 17:00O. Kolbasenko1.73115114113A. Lievshin2.0081181162WOct 5 · 16:00O. Kolbasenko1.44911117113A. Hrabskyi2.6311591192LOct 5 · 14:30O. Kolbasenko2.75111195112V. Marushchak1.40681111133LOct 5 · 12:30O. Kolbasenko1.9111129692A. Yurkov1.805101111113LSep 30 · 11:50O. Kolbasenko2.105570A. Yurkov1.671111113
V. Marushchak10
WOct 8 · 16:30V. Marushchak1.401111113V. Voronenko2.757520WOct 8 · 15:30V. Marushchak1.531111113A. Lievshin2.385830WOct 8 · 14:00V. Marushchak1.441061111113O. Kolbasenko2.6312119732WOct 8 · 13:00V. Marushchak1.441112113A. Hrabskyi2.6391080WOct 5 · 18:30V. Marushchak1.5011711113A. Hrabskyi2.50911671WOct 5 · 16:30P. Plakushchyi1.8011114952V. Marushchak1.91571111113LOct 5 · 15:30V. Marushchak1.808911111A. Yurkov1.9111115133WOct 5 · 14:30O. Kolbasenko2.75111195112V. Marushchak1.40681111133LOct 5 · 13:00V. Marushchak1.501012511102A. Lievshin2.501210115123WOct 2 · 17:40V. Marushchak1.5331111113A. Lievshin2.38115341
Upcoming Matches
O. Kolbasenko
Nothing scheduled
V. Marushchak
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