Oskar Sokolowski vs Michal Jozefiak 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 9Finished

Oskar Sokolowski

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

711115119711411

Michal Jozefiak

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched: 56.5% is still 56.5%

Graded at full time

Michal Jozefiak to win

56.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingOskar Sokolowski above · Michal Jozefiak below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-5

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 4-11

Point 87 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Michal Jozefiak at 56.5%

87 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 09:23

56.5%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727

short by 1.4pp

57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Jozefiak

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Sokolowski 1204 vs Jozefiak 1334

Jozefiak

Correct

both rated, 130 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Sokolowski 20% vs Jozefiak 80%

Jozefiak

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Sokolowski 30% vs Jozefiak 60%

Jozefiak

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Sokolowski -3 · Jozefiak +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Jozefiak) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jozefiak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSokolowski 2.00 / Jozefiak 1.727

Signal prob.44% / 57%

Edge (Jozefiak)-1.4pp (anti-value)

TT Elite Series · #13264541

Sokolowski2.00

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 08)

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog30% won 83 of 281

Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 175

Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 100

Jozefiak1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 4

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite50% won 5 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSokolowskiJozefiakBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 431 vs 21 / 4433%47.7%142 / 431 vs 21 / 44Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Jozefiak

Sokolowski 2.00/Jozefiak 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

56.5%

Jozefiak · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Jozefiak won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Sokolowski10