TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Gumulinski vs Oskar Sokolowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161012911116118
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched: 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1161012911116118
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 1–0 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:3469.1%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 2.3pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1386 vs Sokolowski 1222
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 20% vs Sokolowski 40%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 60% vs Sokolowski 30%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -2 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% · Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.40 / Sokolowski 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Gumulinski)-2.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13261431
Gumulinski1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 384 of 615
Up 2–0, closes it95% 173 of 183
Up 1–0, closes it78% 259 of 332
Sokolowski2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog30% won 82 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGumulinski1wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
Gumulinski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGumulinskiSokolowskiG − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1038 / 1830 vs 141 / 42656.7%33.1%1038 / 1830 vs 141 / 426Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.40/Sokolowski 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 28 · 05:10P. Gumulinski331111113O. Sokolowski227780
P. Gumulinski10
LOct 8 · 02:45P. Gumulinski1.7489111472P. Kurek1.951111912113LOct 8 · 01:10P. Gumulinski1.35115111042T. Wrzalik2.95611612113WOct 8 · 00:00P. Gumulinski2.02117612113A. Burkacki1.72911111092LOct 7 · 22:25P. Gumulinski1.769720M. Koczyba1.951111113LOct 7 · 21:10P. Gumulinski1.803790M. Baron1.851111113WOct 6 · 05:05D. Dytko2.377121061P. Gumulinski1.52111012113WOct 6 · 03:55P. Gumulinski1.701111113W. Urban2.008560WOct 6 · 02:10L. Oracz2.2010111031P. Gumulinski1.5712912113WOct 6 · 01:10K. Kowalski5.109119101P. Gumulinski1.1211911123WOct 5 · 23:50K. Adamus2.35791371P. Gumulinski1.53111111113
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 7 · 16:40R. Niemiec1.321211123O. Sokolowski3.00109100WOct 7 · 15:55O. Sokolowski1.7791190O. Sokolowski1.951113113LOct 7 · 13:55K. Adamus1.391111113O. Sokolowski2.809560WOct 7 · 13:10R. Gajda1.601211911102O. Sokolowski2.15145119123LOct 7 · 11:30W. Urban1.521411113O. Sokolowski2.3712580LOct 7 · 10:40R. Niemiec1.387111011113O. Sokolowski2.8511512892WOct 7 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.7281111782O. Sokolowski2.00117611113LOct 7 · 07:55K. Adamus1.3591111113O. Sokolowski2.95115771LOct 7 · 07:10W. Urban1.5711116113O. Sokolowski2.25831181LOct 7 · 05:30R. Gajda1.755121111113O. Sokolowski1.9511148662
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