TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Dedek vs Tomas Dousa 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA12 · Liberec
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6116111113––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:26 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 58 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 20–17 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:2654.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dedek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Dedek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1431 vs Dousa 1532
Dousa
Correct
both rated, 101 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 40% vs Dousa 80%
Dousa
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 30% vs Dousa 60%
Dousa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek -1 · Dousa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Dedek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.727 / Dousa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Dousa)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13264050
Dedek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 136 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it97% 74 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 124
Dousa2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back22% 11 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayDousa3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek85.7%6 of 7
AwayDousa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek7Dousa3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S2Dedek6Dousa4n = 10Dedek took 6 of 10
S3Dedek7Dousa3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S4Dedek2Dousa4n = 6Dousa took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekDousaDedek − DousaBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.1+2.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime504 / 989 vs 353 / 71051%49.7%504 / 989 vs 353 / 710Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.73/Dousa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 5 · 15:00J. Dedek371115113T. Dousa2681350
LOct 2 · 18:00J. Dedek4681117101T. Dousa51111315123
WOct 1 · 14:30J. Dedek331111113T. Dousa259970
WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek55911811163T. Dousa50117117142
LSep 8 · 19:00J. Dedek31561371T. Dousa44111111113
WAug 24 · 20:58J. Dedek47111195113T. Dousa3986111132
WAug 24 · 19:30J. Dedek3911215113T. Dousa419111381
WAug 13 · 20:00J. Dedek401116133T. Dousa32714110
WAug 3 · 17:30J. Dedek331111113T. Dousa238960
LAug 3 · 16:30J. Dedek391199101T. Dousa4061111123
J. Dedek10
LOct 10 · 01:30K. Darin1.611111113J. Dedek2.207440WOct 10 · 00:00J. Dedek1.531111113A. Svoboda2.388750LOct 9 · 23:00A. Mikuska2.2011116133J. Dedek1.617211111LOct 9 · 21:30J. Dedek1.8011850A. Svoboda1.901311113WOct 9 · 20:30Y. Holovatiuk2.38114751J. Dedek1.5391111113WOct 9 · 19:30J. Dedek1.671111113K. Novak2.109960LOct 9 · 18:30A. Svoboda3.00911411113J. Dedek1.3611611982LOct 8 · 12:58J. Prokupek1.8011611113J. Dedek1.91611681LOct 8 · 12:00R. Pavelka1.6111911113J. Dedek2.20411571LOct 8 · 11:00K. Darin1.80961111113J. Dedek1.9111117582
T. Dousa10
WOct 10 · 03:30T. Dousa1.601213113K. Darin2.20101170LOct 10 · 01:00A. Svoboda2.20117913113T. Dousa1.61711111142WOct 9 · 23:30T. Dousa1.731211113K. Darin2.0010890WOct 9 · 22:00T. Dousa2.10129811113A. Mikuska1.67101111732WOct 9 · 21:30J. Plachy1.47611119122T. Dousa2.50118911143WOct 9 · 20:00F. Jungman2.20931191T. Dousa1.6111117113WOct 9 · 19:00K. Darin2.007711101T. Dousa1.7311116123LOct 9 · 18:30T. Dousa1.83811101152J. Plachy1.83119129113LOct 8 · 21:30T. Dousa1.7310870J. Prokupek2.001211113WOct 8 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.50111111792T. Dousa1.50139911113
Upcoming Matches
J. Dedek
T. Dousa
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