Dawid Michna vs Jacek Mitas 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite Series

Played Oct 8Finished

Dawid Michna

Home

1.52

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

711115411114117

Jacek Mitas

Away

2.30

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:31 and never touched: 74.8% is still 74.8%

Graded at full time

Dawid Michna to win

74.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

82 points played in total.

Set by set

711115411114117

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 05:31

74.8%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52

clears by 9.0pp

65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.52 (60%)

Michna

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Michna 1844 vs Mitas 1667

Michna

Correct

both rated, 177 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Michna 40% vs Mitas 20%

Michna

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Michna 40% vs Mitas 60%

Mitas

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Michna -3 · Mitas -2

Michna

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Michna) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mitas form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMichna 1.52 / Mitas 2.30

Signal prob.75% / 25%

Edge (Michna)+9.0pp

TT Elite Series · #13262861

Michna1.52

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite62% won 65 of 105

Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63

Mitas2.30

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 48 of 133

Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 73

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricMichnaMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 923 vs 137 / 27954.1%49.1%499 / 923 vs 137 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Michna

Michna 1.52/Mitas 2.30

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

74.8%

Michna · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Michna won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

D. Michna10