TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Aleksander Barton vs Witold Stechly 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111171176111210
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:44 and never touched: 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeAleksander Barton to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
5111171176111210
H2H Aleksander Barton 11–4 Witold Stechly Witold Stechly has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:4454.1%Our read57.1%to break even at 1.75
short by 3.0pp57.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.75 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-4 in 15
Barton
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1039 vs Stechly 1077
Stechly
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Stechly 40%
Stechly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 10% vs Stechly 30%
Stechly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -4 · Stechly -1
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Barton) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stechly form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.75 / Stechly 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Barton)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13262300
Barton1.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 15 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Stechly1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 46 of 229
Down 0–1, comes back11% 18 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton6wins
AwayStechly4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBarton leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton85.7%6 of 7
AwayStechly100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton7Stechly3n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Barton7Stechly3n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S3Barton5Stechly5n = 10split evenly
S4Barton4Stechly3n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonStechlyB − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.734.3+3.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonStechlyBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 418 vs 97 / 53621.1%18.1%88 / 418 vs 97 / 536Avg sets wonper match1.21.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.333.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.75/Stechly 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 05:30A. Barton4112117113W. Stechly331031191
LSep 7 · 08:20A. Barton4491111672W. Stechly43114611113
LAug 6 · 05:05A. Barton34118781W. Stechly4291111113
WJul 15 · 23:55A. Barton4211119113W. Stechly32481191
WJul 3 · 00:45A. Barton4112117113W. Stechly341051181
LJun 22 · 08:45A. Barton2591240W. Stechly361114113
WJun 15 · 06:50A. Barton371511113W. Stechly2213450
WMay 25 · 07:35A. Barton341111123W. Stechly2138100
LApr 30 · 05:05A. Barton4061111932W. Stechly50118911113
WApr 16 · 05:05A. Barton3911611113W. Stechly30611851
A. Barton10
LOct 7 · 23:30A. Barton5.759630A. Fomin1.121111113LOct 2 · 02:35M. Leczycki1.111111113A. Barton6.008590LOct 2 · 01:25A. Barton7.50881171Z. Nocun1.0711112113LOct 2 · 00:10A. Fomin1.084111110113A. Barton7.0011391252WOct 1 · 22:55A. Krezel1.05711121192A. Barton8.50118147113LOct 1 · 21:20A. Skupinski1.501111113A. Barton2.505770LOct 1 · 20:30A. Fomin1.06111158113A. Barton8.00911131182LOct 1 · 19:20A. Barton7.50611781Z. Nocun1.0711311113LOct 1 · 18:10M. Leczycki1.25119114113A. Barton3.7581171152LOct 1 · 16:55A. Krezel1.101111113A. Barton6.507290
W. Stechly10
LOct 7 · 23:55W. Stechly2.751011511102A. Staniczek1.37125115123WOct 5 · 08:20M. Lamer1.906880W. Stechly1.751111113WOct 5 · 07:35T. Kordaszewski2.20461171W. Stechly1.6011118113LOct 5 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.271211113W. Stechly3.2510970LOct 5 · 04:50D. Maszczynski1.9311711113W. Stechly1.78711871LOct 5 · 03:10M. Wolny1.36611124113W. Stechly2.91118101132LOct 1 · 04:20W. Stechly2.3081171152J. Michalik1.56115113113LOct 1 · 03:05W. Stechly—5590M. Zielinski—1111113LOct 1 · 01:55W. Stechly4.8561090J. Zelezik1.141112113WOct 1 · 00:45A. Fomin1.4541131492W. Stechly2.581131112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Barton
W. Stechly
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.