TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andriej Fomin vs Aleksander Barton 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191111513811118
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched: 91.0% is still 91.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
91.0%
91.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAndriej Fomin above · Aleksander Barton below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Andriej Fomin at 91.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andriej Fomin 16–1 Aleksander Barton Aleksander Barton has won 1 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:2391.0%Our read94.2%to break even at 1.062
short by 3.2pp94.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.062 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (88%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
16-1 in 17
Fomin
Correct
gap of 15 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1423 vs Barton 1039
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 384 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Barton 0%
Fomin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Barton 10%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Barton -9
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% · Strong (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.062 / Barton 8.00
Signal prob.91% / 9%
Edge (Fomin)-3.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13227426
Fomin1.06
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite72% won 298 of 415
Up 2–0, closes it98% 165 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it90% 229 of 255
Barton8.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back5% 9 of 167
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 133
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin10wins
AwayBarton0wins
Fomin leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%10 of 10
AwayBartonn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin10Barton0n = 10Fomin took 10 of 10
S2Fomin9Barton1n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S3Fomin7Barton3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Fomin4Barton0n = 4Fomin took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominBartonF − BBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match37.125.3+11.8per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime568 / 972 vs 87 / 41158.4%21.2%568 / 972 vs 87 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.11.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.131.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.06/Barton 8.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 02:35A. Fomin4211146113A. Barton369121141
WSep 2 · 04:40A. Fomin331111113A. Barton237790
WSep 1 · 22:40A. Fomin4111118113A. Barton32681171
WAug 27 · 23:30A. Fomin331111113A. Barton218580
WAug 26 · 23:55A. Fomin331111113A. Barton186660
WAug 21 · 02:20A. Fomin331111113A. Barton178540
WJun 25 · 23:45A. Fomin4211911113A. Barton31911651
WJun 25 · 15:50A. Fomin371511113A. Barton2213630
WJun 22 · 06:00A. Fomin331111113A. Barton205780
WJun 19 · 02:10A. Fomin44111111113A. Barton33781351
A. Fomin10
LOct 1 · 18:55A. Fomin1.67311156102M. Leczycki2.101191311123WOct 1 · 17:45A. Fomin1.91117911143A. Krezel1.80811117122WOct 1 · 16:15A. Fomin1.36861111113A. Skupinski3.0011119872LOct 1 · 15:00A. Fomin2.00451131Z. Nocun1.7311117113WOct 1 · 05:05A. Fomin1.8981111113A. Staniczek1.83118321LOct 1 · 03:30A. Fomin1.55981191J. Michalik2.3011116113WOct 1 · 02:20A. Fomin—101111113M. Zielinski—127751LOct 1 · 00:45A. Fomin1.4541131492W. Stechly2.581131112113LSep 30 · 23:30A. Fomin2.2077100J. Zelezik1.601111123WSep 30 · 22:20J. Slawomir3.006570A. Fomin1.351111113
A. Barton10
LOct 1 · 19:20A. Barton7.50611781Z. Nocun1.0711311113LOct 1 · 18:10M. Leczycki1.25119114113A. Barton3.7581171152LOct 1 · 16:55A. Krezel1.101111113A. Barton6.507290LOct 1 · 15:25A. Skupinski1.501111113A. Barton2.502790LSep 29 · 01:50A. Barton4.003850K. Kwiatkowski1.221111113LSep 29 · 00:30A. Barton5.501061171H. Tkaczyk1.1312118113LSep 28 · 23:30A. Barton3.7511580A. Krezel1.251311113LSep 28 · 22:10A. Barton7.5011115952M. Lewczuk1.07981111113LSep 28 · 21:00A. Barton6.5061180Z. Nocun1.101113113WSep 21 · 09:50T. Kordaszewski2.37811471A. Barton1.5211511113
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