TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Slozka vs Avraham Nazrin 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9116111113––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:04 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeViktor Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViktor Slozka above · Avraham Nazrin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Viktor Slozka at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Slozka 2–3 Avraham Nazrin Viktor Slozka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 12:0454.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nazrin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1725 vs Nazrin 1683
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 40% vs Nazrin 60%
Nazrin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 60% vs Nazrin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka -1 · Nazrin -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Slozka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.909 / Nazrin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slozka)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13261372
Slozka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 123 of 254
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Nazrin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 02)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite47% won 7 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlozka2wins
AwayNazrin3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderNazrin leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNazrin66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka2Nazrin3n = 5Nazrin took 3 of 5
S2Slozka3Nazrin2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S3Slozka2Nazrin3n = 5Nazrin took 3 of 5
S4Slozka1Nazrin3n = 4Nazrin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSlozkaNazrinS − NBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match33.637.0−3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaNazrinBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 862 vs 23 / 4346.4%53.5%400 / 862 vs 23 / 43Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.91/Nazrin 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nazrin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 2 · 11:05V. Slozka331111113A. Nazrin279990
WSep 25 · 05:35V. Slozka43511511113A. Nazrin4011911362
LSep 24 · 13:35V. Slozka26114381A. Nazrin3741111113
LJul 31 · 11:05V. Slozka36911791A. Nazrin3911611113
LJul 30 · 13:05V. Slozka30651181A. Nazrin4211119113
V. Slozka10
LOct 8 · 03:00O. Rodin1.8391111113V. Slozka1.83115981WOct 8 · 01:30V. Slozka1.4061111113Y. Vorsuliak2.75118781WOct 7 · 23:30R. Konkulovskyi2.2579110V. Slozka1.571111133LOct 7 · 21:30V. Kaidakov1.8011117113V. Slozka1.91831191LOct 7 · 20:30M. Loboda1.73111288113V. Slozka2.00810111172WOct 6 · 02:45V. Kaidakov1.91761131V. Slozka1.8011119113WOct 6 · 01:45Y. Vorsuliak2.635770V. Slozka1.441111113WOct 6 · 00:15R. Konkulovskyi1.8331160V. Slozka1.831113113WOct 5 · 22:15O. Rodin1.83811161V. Slozka1.8311911113LOct 5 · 20:15M. Loboda1.7311511113V. Slozka2.00911691
A. Nazrin10
LOct 2 · 11:05A. Nazrin1.619990V. Slozka2.201111113LOct 2 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.401111113A. Nazrin2.757680WOct 2 · 08:05A. Nazrin1.831111133V. Kaidakov1.8358110WOct 2 · 07:05M. Loboda1.80711111192A. Nazrin1.91111366113WOct 2 · 05:35A. Nazrin1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.807490LOct 1 · 18:35A. Nazrin1.8091141152V. Kaidakov1.91118118113WOct 1 · 16:35Y. Vorsuliak1.73811761A. Nazrin2.0011811113LOct 1 · 15:35A. Nazrin1.9111118492V. Krokhmal1.80761111113LOct 1 · 14:35M. Loboda1.73591211113A. Nazrin2.00111110892WOct 1 · 13:05A. Nazrin1.36147117113D. Shchegelskyi3.00121171172
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