TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Avraham Nazrin vs Viktor Slozka 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:04 and never touched: 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeAvraham Nazrin to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Avraham Nazrin @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingAvraham Nazrin above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 60 set 3, 9-11 · our read held Avraham Nazrin at 55.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Avraham Nazrin 3–1 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:0455.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 6.4pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nazrin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Nazrin
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nazrin 1698 vs Slozka 1714
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nazrin 60% vs Slozka 40%
Nazrin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nazrin 60% vs Slozka 40%
Nazrin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nazrin -1 · Slozka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Nazrin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNazrin 1.615 / Slozka 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Nazrin)-6.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13228919
Nazrin1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 7 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Slozka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 119 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back26% 31 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeNazrin3wins
AwaySlozka1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderNazrin leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNazrin66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nazrin3Slozka1n = 4Nazrin took 3 of 4
S2Nazrin2Slozka2n = 4split evenly
S3Nazrin3Slozka1n = 4Nazrin took 3 of 4
S4Nazrin3Slozka1n = 4Nazrin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricNazrinSlozkaN − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.533.8+5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNazrinSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 42 vs 391 / 85254.8%45.9%23 / 42 vs 391 / 852Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NazrinNazrin 1.61/Slozka 2.20
Miss
What we said
55.5%
Nazrin · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Avraham Nazrin @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 25 · 05:35A. Nazrin4011911362V. Slozka43511511113
WSep 24 · 13:35A. Nazrin3741111113V. Slozka26114381
WJul 31 · 11:05A. Nazrin3911611113V. Slozka36911791
WJul 30 · 13:05A. Nazrin4211119113V. Slozka30651181
A. Nazrin10
LOct 2 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.401111113A. Nazrin2.757680WOct 2 · 08:05A. Nazrin1.831111133V. Kaidakov1.8358110WOct 2 · 07:05M. Loboda1.80711111192A. Nazrin1.91111366113WOct 2 · 05:35A. Nazrin1.911111113V. Krokhmal1.807490LOct 1 · 18:35A. Nazrin1.8091141152V. Kaidakov1.91118118113WOct 1 · 16:35Y. Vorsuliak1.73811761A. Nazrin2.0011811113LOct 1 · 15:35A. Nazrin1.9111118492V. Krokhmal1.80761111113LOct 1 · 14:35M. Loboda1.73591211113A. Nazrin2.00111110892WOct 1 · 13:05A. Nazrin1.36147117113D. Shchegelskyi3.00121171172WSep 25 · 11:05A. Nazrin2.20811116113V. Krokhmal1.6111851172
V. Slozka10
LOct 2 · 10:05V. Kaidakov1.83911118133V. Slozka1.83114911112LOct 2 · 08:35M. Loboda1.7311119113V. Slozka2.00691161WOct 2 · 06:35V. Krokhmal1.91871171V. Slozka1.8011117113WOct 2 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.61118111052V. Slozka2.20711412113LOct 1 · 10:35I. Hrekh1.731111113V. Slozka2.005260WOct 1 · 09:35V. Slozka2.0081111113O. Pohonov1.73119931LOct 1 · 08:35V. Slozka2.25911118122A. Romanenko1.57119911143LOct 1 · 07:05V. Slozka1.834113101O. Rodin1.8311911123LOct 1 · 05:05V. Slozka2.6381121182I. Sukovatyi1.44118119113WSep 30 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.679970V. Slozka2.101111113
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