TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Jaroslav Schwan 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911611811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched: 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Jaroslav Schwan @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 · our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 61.7%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 4–8 Jaroslav Schwan Jakub Levicky has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 10:5361.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 0.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Schwan
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1513 vs Schwan 1595
Schwan
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 0% vs Schwan 40%
Schwan
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Schwan 50%
Schwan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -5 · Schwan -2
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Schwan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.20 / Schwan 1.615
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Schwan)-0.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13259221
Levicky2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 57 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Schwan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 48 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky4wins
AwaySchwan6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSchwan leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky50%3 of 6
AwaySchwan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky6Schwan4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S2Levicky4Schwan6n = 10Schwan took 6 of 10
S3Levicky4Schwan6n = 10Schwan took 6 of 10
S4Levicky2Schwan3n = 5Schwan took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickySchwanL − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match31.435.9−4.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickySchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 898 vs 152 / 32050.5%47.5%453 / 898 vs 152 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanLevicky 2.20/Schwan 1.61
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Jaroslav Schwan @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
1–3
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky46111113113J. Schwan381351191
WOct 2 · 07:00J. Levicky3711114113J. Schwan34781181
LSep 20 · 08:58J. Levicky154830J. Schwan331111113
LSep 20 · 06:00J. Levicky42119111012J. Schwan48611812113
LSep 15 · 11:00J. Levicky28127631J. Schwan43101111113
WSep 6 · 16:59J. Levicky361312113J. Schwan29111080
WSep 6 · 14:30J. Levicky351311113J. Schwan2611870
LAug 17 · 20:30J. Levicky341193111J. Schwan4051111133
LMar 16 · 13:00J. Levicky156630J. Schwan331111113
LFeb 27 · 08:00J. Levicky2661190J. Schwan351113113
J. Levicky10
LOct 8 · 13:12J. Schwan1.2011117113J. Levicky4.33641181LOct 8 · 11:30A. Rinka1.57951111113J. Levicky2.2511118952LOct 8 · 10:00J. Levicky2.20121161682V. Adamczyk1.611491114113LOct 6 · 12:59V. Cerny1.611111113J. Levicky2.204730LOct 6 · 12:30V. Cerny1.8391111113J. Levicky1.83115641LOct 6 · 11:30J. Levicky1.801480M. Heczko1.911111113LOct 6 · 10:30S. Byrtus1.7391111113J. Levicky2.00116771WOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182LOct 6 · 08:00J. Levicky1.61117791V. Cerny2.2061111113WOct 6 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91771311102J. Levicky1.801111115123
J. Schwan10
WOct 8 · 13:12J. Schwan1.2011117113J. Levicky4.33641181LOct 8 · 11:00V. Adamczyk2.005111111113J. Schwan1.7311913592LOct 8 · 10:30J. Schwan1.83111111682A. Rinka1.83913511113WOct 7 · 17:30V. Adamczyk1.9051111101J. Schwan1.8011139123LOct 7 · 16:30J. Schwan1.5711860V. Adamczyk2.251311113WOct 7 · 15:00J. Schwan1.401111113J. Stoch2.757680WOct 7 · 14:00A. Walek1.80912961J. Schwan1.91111011113LOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky2.25111113113J. Schwan1.581351191WOct 2 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.80111091192J. Schwan1.91712115113LOct 2 · 07:00J. Levicky2.7511114113J. Schwan1.40781181
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