TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Neterda vs Jan Ruzicka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111312141131191715
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadek Neterda above · Jan Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 17-15
Point 116 set 5, 17-15
116 points played in total.
H2H Radek Neterda 18–22 Jan Ruzicka Radek Neterda has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Neterda beat Ruzicka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeterda 1.80 / Ruzicka 1.909
TT Cup · #13255473
Neterda1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 63 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60
Ruzicka1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog57% won 53 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeterda3wins
AwayRuzicka7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeterda66.7%2 of 3
AwayRuzicka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neterda3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Neterda7Ruzicka3n = 10Neterda took 7 of 10
S3Neterda0Ruzicka10n = 10Ruzicka took 10 of 10
S4Neterda5Ruzicka2n = 7Neterda took 5 of 7
S5Neterda1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeterdaRuzickaN − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.0−3.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeterdaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 467 vs 254 / 48051%52.9%238 / 467 vs 254 / 480Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaNeterda 1.80/Ruzicka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Neterda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 16:05R. Neterda44111111113J. Ruzicka26541341
LOct 1 · 11:35R. Neterda209740J. Ruzicka331111113
LSep 29 · 13:40R. Neterda30611851J. Ruzicka4211911113
WSep 29 · 11:05R. Neterda521213411123J. Ruzicka531411117102
LSep 25 · 10:35R. Neterda237970J. Ruzicka331111113
LSep 23 · 07:05R. Neterda47111161452J. Ruzicka55981116113
WSep 21 · 17:24R. Neterda46111410113J. Ruzicka336121231
LSep 21 · 16:05R. Neterda48131171162J. Ruzicka54159118113
LSep 19 · 12:05R. Neterda176470J. Ruzicka331111113
LSep 17 · 11:05R. Neterda501011101182J. Ruzicka48126127113
R. Neterda10
WOct 6 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57541341R. Neterda2.25111111113WOct 6 · 15:35J. Manhal Jr1.917101151R. Neterda1.8011124113WOct 6 · 14:35R. Neterda1.50111511113M. Flesar2.50817571WOct 5 · 09:08R. Neterda1.8312811113O. Pros1.831011851WOct 5 · 08:35R. Neterda2.0031111123O. Pros1.731165101LOct 5 · 07:05T. Palan1.7311115113R. Neterda2.00891171LOct 5 · 06:35T. Trnka1.40116119123R. Neterda2.75311911102LOct 1 · 13:14J. Lovl1.831311113R. Neterda1.8311560LOct 1 · 12:35J. Lovl1.837111211113R. Neterda1.83118101362LOct 1 · 11:35R. Neterda2.109740J. Ruzicka1.671111113
J. Ruzicka10
LOct 6 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.57541341R. Neterda2.25111111113WOct 6 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.4011177113M. Flesar2.755151141WOct 6 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.441111113J. Manhal Jr2.638680LOct 4 · 17:03J. Ruzicka1.33611111552M. Flesar3.251113613113LOct 4 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.8314120J. Lovl1.831111143WOct 4 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.441111113M. Flesar2.638570LOct 4 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.44691191M. Chmelicek2.6311117113LOct 1 · 13:44P. Chvatal2.001112613113J. Ruzicka1.73910111562LOct 1 · 12:05P. Chvatal2.201112113J. Ruzicka1.6161090WOct 1 · 11:35R. Neterda2.109740J. Ruzicka1.671111113
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