TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Lovl vs Radek Neterda 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115116––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJan Lovl above · Radek Neterda below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 57 set 3, 11-6
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Lovl 23–10 Radek Neterda Radek Neterda has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Lovl beat Neterda 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neterda form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLovl 1.833 / Neterda 1.833
TT Cup · #13228139
Lovl1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Neterda1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLovl6wins
AwayNeterda4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLovl leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLovl75%3 of 4
AwayNeterda50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lovl4Neterda6n = 10Neterda took 6 of 10
S2Lovl5Neterda5n = 10split evenly
S3Lovl4Neterda6n = 10Neterda took 6 of 10
S4Lovl3Neterda4n = 7Neterda took 4 of 7
S5Lovl5Neterda1n = 6Lovl took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLovlNeterdaL − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.739.2−1.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLovlNeterdaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 368 vs 233 / 45951.9%50.8%191 / 368 vs 233 / 459Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LovlLovl 1.83/Neterda 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–0
Lovl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 12:35J. Lovl527111211113R. Neterda48118101362
LSep 29 · 10:35J. Lovl227780R. Neterda331111113
WSep 23 · 09:33J. Lovl43611411113R. Neterda4211911742
LSep 23 · 06:35J. Lovl301121161R. Neterda4113116113
LSep 11 · 13:40J. Lovl4212651182R. Neterda471011114113
WSep 11 · 10:05J. Lovl451111101123R. Neterda47771211102
LSep 9 · 12:05J. Lovl116320R. Neterda331111113
WSep 5 · 10:35J. Lovl331111113R. Neterda125070
WAug 30 · 12:35J. Lovl541111710153R. Neterda52791112132
WAug 15 · 17:04J. Lovl45841111113R. Neterda3711119422
J. Lovl10
WOct 1 · 12:35J. Lovl1.837111211113R. Neterda1.83118101362LOct 1 · 11:05P. Chvatal2.001112113J. Lovl1.7361070LOct 1 · 10:35J. Ruzicka1.83841111113J. Lovl1.8311113462LSep 29 · 13:08J. Lovl1.3371011101O. Pros3.2511128123LSep 29 · 12:05J. Ruzicka2.20117911113J. Lovl1.6181111252WSep 29 · 11:35O. Pros2.758590J. Lovl1.401111113LSep 29 · 10:35J. Lovl1.737780R. Neterda2.001111113WSep 27 · 09:40K. Lahodny1.83311781J. Lovl1.8311911113WSep 27 · 08:05J. Lovl1.501111113M. Flesar2.509890LSep 27 · 07:05J. Lovl1.57117891K. Lahodny2.2591111113
R. Neterda10
LOct 1 · 12:35J. Lovl1.837111211113R. Neterda1.83118101362LOct 1 · 11:35R. Neterda2.109740J. Ruzicka1.671111113LOct 1 · 10:05P. Chvatal1.731111113R. Neterda2.008990LSep 29 · 13:40R. Neterda2.00611851J. Ruzicka1.7311911113WSep 29 · 12:35R. Neterda2.1051112113O. Pros1.671121061WSep 29 · 11:05J. Ruzicka1.671411117102R. Neterda2.101213411123WSep 29 · 10:35J. Lovl1.737780R. Neterda2.001111113WSep 28 · 17:35M. Flesar2.75915391R. Neterda1.40111311113WSep 28 · 16:05R. Neterda1.44111214113M. Flesar2.639101641WSep 28 · 15:05R. Neterda1.611111113M. Chmelicek2.203460
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