TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Volkov vs Serhii Kyienko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119411611118117
Serhii Kyienko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kyienko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Serhii Kyienko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Serhii Kyienko at 62.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 10–24 Serhii Kyienko Yurii Volkov has won 10 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5762.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kyienko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-24 in 34
Kyienko
Wrong
gap of 14 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1603 vs Kyienko 1646
Kyienko
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 40% vs Kyienko 20%
Volkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 50% vs Kyienko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov -1 · Kyienko -3
Kyienko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Kyienko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kyienko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 2.375 / Kyienko 1.533
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kyienko)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13251187
Volkov2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 42 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back27% 14 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Kyienko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 14 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it70% 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov5wins
AwayKyienko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov75%3 of 4
AwayKyienko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov4Kyienko6n = 10Kyienko took 6 of 10
S2Volkov5Kyienko5n = 10split evenly
S3Volkov5Kyienko4n = 9Volkov took 5 of 9
S4Volkov2Kyienko3n = 5Kyienko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovKyienkoV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.737.9−5.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovKyienkoBasisWin rate · lifetime409 / 785 vs 85 / 15552.1%54.8%409 / 785 vs 85 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KyienkoVolkov 2.38/Kyienko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Kyienko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 25 · 07:30Y. Volkov516121111113S. Kyienko47111061372
WSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov4381311113S. Kyienko371111871
LMay 2 · 08:05Y. Volkov3911411762S. Kyienko47511911113
LApr 11 · 08:05Y. Volkov207670S. Kyienko331111113
LApr 4 · 08:05Y. Volkov25471131S. Kyienko3811115113
LMar 14 · 08:30Y. Volkov113350S. Kyienko331111113
WFeb 15 · 14:40Y. Volkov4011117113S. Kyienko30941161
Y. Volkov10
LOct 6 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.447720V. Bilobrov2.631111113LOct 6 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.7331251242A. Troyan2.0011101110113WOct 6 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.83115155113Y. Kovshun1.83511131162LOct 5 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.839111111102Y. Kovshun1.83114413123WOct 5 · 10:38Y. Kovshun1.91117751Y. Volkov1.8071111113LOct 5 · 09:35Y. Volkov1.57711941S. Hryhorenko2.2511811113WOct 5 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.80111146113A. Troyan1.9199111182WOct 5 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.4014611113O. Karpenko2.751211851LOct 2 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.40118861O. Karpenko2.7541111113LOct 2 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.91101150V. Kolesnykov1.801213113
S. Kyienko10
LOct 6 · 07:05S. Kyienko1.6791141182Y. Kovshun2.10115115113LOct 6 · 06:05V. Bilobrov1.361111113S. Kyienko3.007870LSep 25 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.105640A. Troyan1.671111113WSep 25 · 09:30Y. Kovshun2.1011911682S. Kyienko1.67711511113LSep 25 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.386121111113S. Kyienko1.53111061372WSep 25 · 06:30S. Kyienko1.53118117113O. Karpenko2.3861161152WSep 25 · 05:30A. Martyniuk2.2011671172S. Kyienko1.61811118113WSep 18 · 11:30S. Kyienko2.10971111113A. Troyan1.6711115482WSep 18 · 09:30Y. Kovshun1.9110560S. Kyienko1.801211113LSep 18 · 07:30Y. Volkov2.5081311113S. Kyienko1.501111871
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