TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Volkov vs Stepan Hryhorenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118911411––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:32 and never touched: 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYurii Volkov to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Volkov above · Stepan Hryhorenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 72 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Yurii Volkov at 59.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Volkov 10–8 Stepan Hryhorenko Stepan Hryhorenko has won 8 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:3259.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.4pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Volkov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-8 in 18
Volkov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volkov 1586 vs Hryhorenko 1563
Volkov
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volkov 60% vs Hryhorenko 40%
Volkov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volkov 60% vs Hryhorenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volkov +2 · Hryhorenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Volkov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolkov 1.571 / Hryhorenko 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Volkov)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245250
Volkov1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 172 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it98% 79 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it83% 119 of 143
Hryhorenko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog31% won 24 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back16% 8 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolkov7wins
AwayHryhorenko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVolkov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolkov100%5 of 5
AwayHryhorenko60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volkov5Hryhorenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Volkov8Hryhorenko2n = 10Volkov took 8 of 10
S3Volkov5Hryhorenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Volkov2Hryhorenko3n = 5Hryhorenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolkovHryhorenkoV − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.732.0+3.7per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolkovHryhorenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 784 vs 59 / 14652%40.4%408 / 784 vs 59 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolkovVolkov 1.57/Hryhorenko 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Volkov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hryhorenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 5 · 09:35Y. Volkov31711941S. Hryhorenko4111811113
WOct 1 · 09:00Y. Volkov341111123S. Hryhorenko2284100
WAug 17 · 09:00Y. Volkov331111113S. Hryhorenko208840
WAug 15 · 09:35Y. Volkov341111123S. Hryhorenko1716100
LAug 10 · 06:05Y. Volkov31911561S. Hryhorenko4211911113
WAug 7 · 11:35Y. Volkov531211811113S. Hryhorenko4614911842
WAug 3 · 09:35Y. Volkov4011117113S. Hryhorenko25351161
WJul 31 · 08:35Y. Volkov49611119123S. Hryhorenko42118211102
LJul 28 · 09:35Y. Volkov166190S. Hryhorenko331111113
Y. Volkov10
LOct 5 · 11:05Y. Volkov1.839111111102Y. Kovshun1.83114413123WOct 5 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.80111146113A. Troyan1.9199111182WOct 5 · 05:05Y. Volkov1.4014611113O. Karpenko2.751211851LOct 2 · 09:00Y. Volkov1.40118861O. Karpenko2.7541111113LOct 2 · 08:00Y. Volkov1.91101150V. Kolesnykov1.801213113WOct 2 · 06:30Y. Volkov1.801111113Y. Kovshun1.915870LOct 2 · 05:30Y. Volkov1.7399100A. Troyan2.001111123LOct 1 · 09:59Y. Kovshun1.802111111113Y. Volkov1.9111391382WOct 1 · 09:00S. Hryhorenko2.5084100Y. Volkov1.501111123WOct 1 · 07:30Y. Volkov1.674111011113A. Troyan2.1011812852
S. Hryhorenko10
LOct 5 · 11:35S. Hryhorenko1.501186101O. Karpenko2.5061111123LOct 5 · 10:22O. Karpenko—1111113S. Hryhorenko—2780WOct 5 · 08:35S. Hryhorenko3.4011115113A. Troyan1.30781181LOct 5 · 08:33S. Hryhorenko2.50111941Y. Kovshun1.5091111113LOct 1 · 09:29O. Tymofeev2.25741111113S. Hryhorenko1.5711118872LOct 1 · 09:00S. Hryhorenko2.5084100Y. Volkov1.501111123WOct 1 · 08:00S. Hryhorenko1.7311511113O. Tymofeev2.00511791WOct 1 · 06:30S. Hryhorenko4.001314113A. Troyan1.22111260LOct 1 · 05:30S. Hryhorenko2.509136101Y. Kovshun1.50111111123WSep 21 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.731112113S. Solomko2.0071080
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