TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Stanislav Mazanek vs Jiri Grohsgott 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911311––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeStanislav Mazanek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Stanislav Mazanek @ 1.67 · Lost
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11 · our read held Stanislav Mazanek at 55.8%
50 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 29–26 Jiri Grohsgott Jiri Grohsgott has won 26 of their 55 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:1955.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mazanek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
29-26 in 55
Mazanek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1217 vs Grohsgott 1219
Grohsgott
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 80% vs Grohsgott 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 50% vs Grohsgott 70%
Grohsgott
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek -1 · Grohsgott +4
Grohsgott
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Mazanek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 1.666 / Grohsgott 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mazanek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13249279
Mazanek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 52 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it77% 33 of 43
Grohsgott2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 128 of 351
Down 0–1, comes back21% 41 of 193
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMazanek7wins
AwayGrohsgott3wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMazanek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek80%4 of 5
AwayGrohsgott50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek5Grohsgott4n = 9Mazanek took 5 of 9
S2Mazanek7Grohsgott2n = 9Mazanek took 7 of 9
S3Mazanek5Grohsgott4n = 9Mazanek took 5 of 9
S4Mazanek1Grohsgott6n = 7Grohsgott took 6 of 7
S5Mazanek4Grohsgott1n = 5Mazanek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMazanekGrohsgottM − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match40.139.8+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 294 vs 733 / 149549.3%49%145 / 294 vs 733 / 1495Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MazanekMazanek 1.67/Grohsgott 2.10
Miss
What we said
55.8%
Mazanek · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Stanislav Mazanek @ 1.67 · Lost
What happened
0–3
Grohsgott won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 4 · 23:00S. Mazanek335111161J. Grohsgott4311138113
WOct 2 · 01:00S. Mazanek331111113J. Grohsgott189360
WSep 23 · 02:00S. Mazanek50711119123J. Grohsgott41113611102
WAug 19 · 00:00S. Mazanek46811511113J. Grohsgott4411911852
WAug 11 · 23:30S. Mazanek49151229113J. Grohsgott541310111192
WJul 15 · 02:30S. Mazanek331111113J. Grohsgott227780
WJul 3 · 03:28S. Mazanek50111198113J. Grohsgott4596111182
LJul 2 · 23:00S. Mazanek3913117622J. Grohsgott511171111113
LJul 1 · 03:30S. Mazanek28481151J. Grohsgott4011117113
S. Mazanek10
LOct 6 · 22:00S. Mazanek1.571111101172L. Madle2.25813126113WOct 5 · 03:30S. Mazanek1.351111113D. Mutl2.908880WOct 5 · 02:30S. Mazanek1.9111115113M. Syroha1.80841131WOct 5 · 01:30D. Mutl3.504760S. Mazanek1.281111113WOct 5 · 00:00S. Mazanek1.331111113J. Cernik3.251050LOct 4 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.3811138113S. Mazanek1.535111161LOct 2 · 02:58A. Hejduk2.2591311113S. Mazanek1.571111651LOct 2 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.409116101A. Hejduk2.7511411123WOct 2 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.009360LOct 2 · 00:00M. Vaclavik2.38121211113S. Mazanek1.531410551
J. Grohsgott10
LOct 7 · 00:30L. Madle1.8081111113J. Grohsgott1.91115991WOct 6 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.5311117113D. Mutl2.38721131WOct 6 · 08:58J. Grohsgott1.831111113D. Tomasch1.836670WOct 6 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.67611711113D. Tomasch2.1011611782WOct 6 · 07:30M. Smesny3.00111171152J. Grohsgott1.36913116113LOct 6 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.571111101162L. Novotny2.25136127113WOct 5 · 03:00J. Grohsgott1.671111119123M. Syroha2.10138711102WOct 5 · 02:00J. Cernik4.00118951J. Grohsgott1.2291111113WOct 4 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.3811138113S. Mazanek1.535111161LOct 2 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.009360
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