TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Stanislav Mazanek vs Michal Syroha 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118114511113––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:29 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Michal Syroha @ 1.80 · Lost
How it is goingStanislav Mazanek above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 64 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Michal Syroha at 54.3%
64 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Mazanek 12–14 Michal Syroha Stanislav Mazanek has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 01:2954.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.3pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mazanek 1203 vs Syroha 1297
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mazanek 40% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mazanek 40% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mazanek +2 · Syroha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mazanek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMazanek 1.909 / Syroha 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Syroha)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238400
Mazanek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 22 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Syroha1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMazanek3wins
AwaySyroha7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMazanek37.5%3 of 8
AwaySyrohan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mazanek8Syroha2n = 10Mazanek took 8 of 10
S2Mazanek7Syroha3n = 10Mazanek took 7 of 10
S3Mazanek2Syroha8n = 10Syroha took 8 of 10
S4Mazanek3Syroha5n = 8Syroha took 5 of 8
S5Mazanek0Syroha4n = 4Syroha took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMazanekSyrohaM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.440.0−0.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMazanekSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 291 vs 356 / 70449.1%50.6%143 / 291 vs 356 / 704Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaMazanek 1.91/Syroha 1.80
Miss
What we said
54.3%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Michal Syroha @ 1.80 · Lost
What happened
3–1
Mazanek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 1 · 22:30S. Mazanek529111011112M. Syroha46114126133
WSep 16 · 01:30S. Mazanek331111113M. Syroha208840
LSep 3 · 02:00S. Mazanek341161071M. Syroha4391112113
LAug 27 · 02:00S. Mazanek4481171172M. Syroha44113118113
LAug 19 · 01:30S. Mazanek3911104141M. Syroha4561211163
WAug 12 · 01:30S. Mazanek45111112113M. Syroha36791461
LAug 1 · 16:00S. Mazanek28114491M. Syroha4291111113
LAug 1 · 13:31S. Mazanek4311135682M. Syroha539111111113
WAug 1 · 12:00S. Mazanek331111113M. Syroha227960
LJul 14 · 23:00S. Mazanek43111192102M. Syroha49961111123
S. Mazanek10
WOct 5 · 01:30D. Mutl3.504760S. Mazanek1.281111113WOct 5 · 00:00S. Mazanek1.331111113J. Cernik3.251050LOct 4 · 23:00J. Grohsgott2.3811138113S. Mazanek1.535111161LOct 2 · 02:58A. Hejduk2.2591311113S. Mazanek1.571111651LOct 2 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.409116101A. Hejduk2.7511411123WOct 2 · 01:00S. Mazanek1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.009360LOct 2 · 00:00M. Vaclavik2.38121211113S. Mazanek1.531410551LOct 1 · 22:30M. Syroha1.91114126133S. Mazanek1.809111011112WSep 23 · 02:00S. Mazanek1.73711119123J. Grohsgott2.00113611102LSep 23 · 01:00S. Mazanek2.63691161J. Pelikan1.4411118113
M. Syroha10
WOct 5 · 01:00J. Cernik2.3812760M. Syroha1.531411113LOct 4 · 23:30M. Syroha2.2511134492D. Mutl1.579111111113WOct 4 · 22:00M. Syroha2.00591112113J. Grohsgott1.73111171072LOct 4 · 09:30M. Bohac2.501011911113M. Syroha1.4512911442WOct 4 · 08:00M. Syroha1.53611115133M. Bohac2.38116811112LOct 4 · 07:30J. Martinek3.251110117123M. Syroha1.33312711102WOct 4 · 06:00M. Syroha1.611211118113J. Svec2.2014581192WOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LOct 3 · 20:00M. Syroha2.20411711112M. Novotny1.61115118133WOct 1 · 22:30M. Syroha1.91114126133S. Mazanek1.809111011112
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