TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jaromir Cernik vs Michal Syroha 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214711611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:56 and never touched: 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Michal Syroha at 63.6%
61 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 15–11 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:5663.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Cernik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1083 vs Syroha 1290
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 207 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 20% vs Syroha 40%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 20% vs Syroha 50%
Syroha
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -4 · Syroha -1
Cernik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.375 / Syroha 1.533
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Syroha)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238552
Cernik2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 63 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back10% 8 of 78
Syroha1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik6wins
AwaySyroha4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik80%4 of 5
AwaySyroha60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S2Cernik4Syroha6n = 10Syroha took 6 of 10
S3Cernik5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S4Cernik6Syroha3n = 9Cernik took 6 of 9
S5Cernik3Syroha2n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikSyrohaC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.3+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 785 vs 355 / 70345.4%50.5%356 / 785 vs 355 / 703Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaCernik 2.38/Syroha 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 11:30J. Cernik4071111113M. Syroha32116871
LJun 11 · 23:30J. Cernik3211441122M. Syroha47811116113
LJan 19 · 04:20J. Cernik46510111192M. Syroha48111295113
WJan 19 · 02:30J. Cernik49119711113M. Syroha4061111482
WJan 17 · 19:30J. Cernik4591111143M. Syroha271113121
WJan 14 · 04:30J. Cernik3411111113M. Syroha36911881
WJan 14 · 00:00J. Cernik49116129113M. Syroha50911101192
WDec 20 · 14:05J. Cernik47131157113M. Syroha43111111192
LDec 20 · 12:30J. Cernik351011771M. Syroha3712311113
LDec 13 · 02:00J. Cernik189540M. Syroha331111113
J. Cernik10
LOct 5 · 00:00S. Mazanek1.331111113J. Cernik3.251050LOct 4 · 22:30D. Mutl1.531512123J. Cernik2.381310100LOct 3 · 03:00J. Martinek1.400141111113J. Cernik2.7511162692LOct 3 · 02:00J. Martinek1.571112113J. Cernik2.2531040WOct 3 · 00:30J. Cernik2.101111113V. Stach1.679090WOct 2 · 23:00J. Cernik2.751281111113L. Havrda1.4014118992LOct 2 · 22:00J. Potensky1.4011311113J. Cernik2.75511731LOct 1 · 16:59J. Cernik1.50111211692Z. Kasinski2.50414911113LOct 1 · 16:00M. Vaclavik1.361111113J. Cernik3.004160LOct 1 · 15:00V. Stach1.83116115113J. Cernik1.8371191192
M. Syroha10
LOct 4 · 23:30M. Syroha2.2511134492D. Mutl1.579111111113WOct 4 · 22:00M. Syroha2.00591112113J. Grohsgott1.73111171072LOct 4 · 09:30M. Bohac2.501011911113M. Syroha1.4512911442WOct 4 · 08:00M. Syroha1.53611115133M. Bohac2.38116811112LOct 4 · 07:30J. Martinek3.251110117123M. Syroha1.33312711102WOct 4 · 06:00M. Syroha1.611211118113J. Svec2.2014581192WOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LOct 3 · 20:00M. Syroha2.20411711112M. Novotny1.61115118133WOct 3 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr2.005790M. Syroha1.731111113LOct 3 · 18:00M. Syroha1.531041181P. Berdych2.3812119113
Upcoming Matches
J. Cernik
Nothing scheduled
M. Syroha
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.