TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Tomas Palan vs Tomas Trnka 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Tomas Palan
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119911311511––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Palan above · Tomas Trnka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 70 set 4, 5-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Palan 1–0 Tomas Trnka Tomas Trnka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Palan beat Trnka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trnka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalan 1.533 / Trnka 2.375
TT Cup · #13247788
Palan1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Trnka2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 23 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePalan1wins
AwayTrnka0wins
Palan leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPalanTrnkaP − TBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPalanTrnkaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 7 vs 153 / 29671.4%51.7%5 / 7 vs 153 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.42.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PalanPalan 1.53/Trnka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Trnka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 5 · 08:05T. Palan331111113T. Trnka217770
T. Palan10
WOct 5 · 08:05T. Palan2.001111113T. Trnka1.737770WOct 5 · 07:05T. Palan1.7311115113R. Neterda2.00891171WOct 5 · 06:05T. Palan1.611111011113O. Pros2.2091112662WSep 27 · 17:05R. Fnukal1.671111147102T. Palan2.10951611123WSep 27 · 16:35D. Hons2.10911551T. Palan1.6711911113LSep 27 · 15:35T. Palan2.001311111142P. Zivny1.73159133113LSep 27 · 14:05R. Fnukal2.501111113T. Palan1.506480WFeb 14 · 14:30T. Trnka—117971T. Palan—81111113WFeb 14 · 13:30T. Palan—1111113J. Vanek—6960LFeb 14 · 12:00T. Palan—811861T. Trnka—11611113
T. Trnka10
LOct 5 · 08:05T. Palan2.001111113T. Trnka1.737770WOct 5 · 07:35O. Pros3.755490T. Trnka1.251111113WOct 5 · 06:35T. Trnka1.40116119123R. Neterda2.75311911102LOct 4 · 13:34O. Stehlik1.61118311113T. Trnka2.2071111242WOct 4 · 12:35T. Trnka1.281111113M. Holub3.508640LOct 4 · 11:05M. Mastera1.44159119113T. Trnka2.63131171192WOct 4 · 10:35O. Stehlik1.44111189102T. Trnka2.63931111123LSep 29 · 17:35J. Ruzicka1.611111113T. Trnka2.205360LFeb 14 · 14:30T. Trnka—117971T. Palan—81111113WFeb 14 · 12:00T. Palan—811861T. Trnka—11611113
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