TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Sushko vs Sergii Sideltsev 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Ivan Sushko
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
211711119117211
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Sushko to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvan Sushko above · Sergii Sideltsev below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 82 set 5, 2-11 · our read held Ivan Sushko at 62.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Sushko 5–2 Sergii Sideltsev Sergii Sideltsev has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5362.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sushko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sushko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sushko 1518 vs Sideltsev 1482
Sushko
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sushko 60% vs Sideltsev 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sushko 50% vs Sideltsev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sushko -2 · Sideltsev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Sushko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sideltsev form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSushko 1.533 / Sideltsev 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Sushko)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245656
Sushko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite86% won 12 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Sideltsev2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSushko5wins
AwaySideltsev2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSushko leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSushko80%4 of 5
AwaySideltsevn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sushko5Sideltsev2n = 7Sushko took 5 of 7
S2Sushko6Sideltsev1n = 7Sushko took 6 of 7
S3Sushko3Sideltsev4n = 7Sideltsev took 4 of 7
S4Sushko3Sideltsev1n = 4Sushko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSushkoSideltsevSushko − SideltsevBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match38.331.0+7.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSushkoSideltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 113 vs 254 / 43355.8%58.7%63 / 113 vs 254 / 433Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SushkoSushko 1.53/Sideltsev 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Sushko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sideltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 9 · 08:30I. Sushko4411119133S. Sideltsev296111111
WJul 9 · 07:30I. Sushko341211113S. Sideltsev2110650
LMay 28 · 09:30I. Sushko229580S. Sideltsev331111113
WFeb 26 · 10:30I. Sushko4211118123S. Sideltsev315511101
LDec 19 · 07:00I. Sushko48111179102S. Sideltsev49691111123
WDec 9 · 11:30I. Sushko331111113S. Sideltsev198650
WDec 9 · 10:30I. Sushko45121111113S. Sideltsev35149661
I. Sushko10
LOct 5 · 15:30I. Sushko1.50612411102I. Dubinin2.501110115123LOct 5 · 13:00I. Sushko1.5391191172P. Shulhachyk2.38117117113LJul 9 · 10:00I. Sushko2.5094100O. Torianyk1.501111123WJul 9 · 09:00I. Sushko1.6113117133M. Pohorilyi2.2011811111WJul 9 · 08:30I. Sushko1.4411119133S. Sideltsev2.636111111WJul 9 · 07:30S. Sideltsev2.0010650I. Sushko1.731211113WJul 9 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi2.205511111I. Sushko1.6111114133LJul 9 · 05:00O. Torianyk1.441111114113I. Sushko2.6313591172WJul 8 · 17:38I. Sushko1.9110101213133M. Pohorilyi1.8012121011112LJul 8 · 16:00R. Hryhoriev1.671212113I. Sushko2.10101020
S. Sideltsev10
LOct 5 · 15:00V. Simchuk2.201111113S. Sideltsev1.619240WOct 5 · 12:30I. Dubinin1.6710680S. Sideltsev2.101211113LOct 1 · 17:39S. Sideltsev2.008101181I. Dubinin1.7311126113LOct 1 · 16:00S. Sideltsev1.675880P. Kolesnik2.101111113WOct 1 · 15:00M. Pohorilyi1.501111891S. Sideltsev2.5013911113WOct 1 · 14:00I. Dubinin1.6111811392S. Sideltsev2.20811811113LOct 1 · 12:30P. Shulhachyk2.38111110123S. Sideltsev1.536812101WSep 30 · 17:54R. Hryhoriev2.2511116642S. Sideltsev1.57671111113LJul 9 · 08:30I. Sushko1.4411119133S. Sideltsev2.636111111LJul 9 · 07:30S. Sideltsev2.0010650I. Sushko1.731211113
Upcoming Matches
I. Sushko
S. Sideltsev
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