TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Oliver Vincenec 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711115511112811
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 82 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 13–17 Oliver Vincenec Piotr Przewlocki has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
13-17 in 30
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 4 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1371 vs Vincenec 1348
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Vincenec 40%
Przewlocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 60% vs Vincenec 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +2 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.727 / Vincenec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)-3.9pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13243193
Przewlocki1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 129 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it77% 85 of 110
Vincenec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 187 of 461
Down 0–1, comes back25% 67 of 274
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki4wins
AwayVincenec6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderVincenec leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki40%2 of 5
AwayVincenec60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki3Vincenec7n = 10Vincenec took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki6Vincenec3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki3Vincenec5n = 8Vincenec took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiVincenecP − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.245.5−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime519 / 1080 vs 712 / 155348.1%45.9%519 / 1080 vs 712 / 1553Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.73/Vincenec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:55P. Przewlocki4271151182O. Vincenec40115112113
LSep 9 · 10:10P. Przewlocki53911121562O. Vincenec551161413113
WSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki52311811193O. Vincenec52117116172
LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki184590O. Vincenec331111113
LSep 2 · 04:30P. Przewlocki3811114392O. Vincenec51991111113
WJul 13 · 14:20P. Przewlocki42631111113O. Vincenec4711118892
WJul 13 · 08:10P. Przewlocki44116511113O. Vincenec4891111982
WJun 30 · 13:30P. Przewlocki4311811133O. Vincenec358115111
LJun 30 · 07:30P. Przewlocki4011135562O. Vincenec462111111113
LApr 12 · 14:20P. Przewlocki4011511852O. Vincenec48911611113
P. Przewlocki10
WOct 5 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.831381110123J. Badura1.831111612102WOct 5 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.63912129113K. Slawinski1.441110101192LOct 5 · 03:00P. Przewlocki2.38119113102S. Szostok1.53511811123LSep 30 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.0061151142O. Jadach1.73113119113WSep 30 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33591111123I. Szymanski3.25111139102WSep 30 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1716136113K. Kowalski4.5014111191LSep 30 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83919111172K. Adamus1.83112189113LSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113
O. Vincenec10
LOct 5 · 07:45K. Slawinski1.40118117113O. Vincenec2.7581171172LOct 5 · 06:05O. Vincenec2.5012750J. Pruszkowski1.501411113WOct 5 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10117138123S. Szostok1.674111111102LOct 5 · 03:50J. Badura1.671111113O. Vincenec2.102870WOct 3 · 01:45O. Vincenec1.731311611113G. Sawicki2.0015711872LOct 3 · 00:35O. Vincenec1.831011111192J. Nowak1.83128813113WOct 2 · 23:20O. Vincenec2.101111113M. Baron1.678860WOct 2 · 22:10K. Juszczyk1.6111116462O. Vincenec2.20491111113WOct 2 · 21:20O. Vincenec1.8061111113L. Oracz1.91115991LOct 2 · 19:40O. Vincenec2.1091312682K. Juszczyk1.6711111011113
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