TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Oskar Jadach 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611113511119411
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:01 and never touched: 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Oskar Jadach @ 1.73 · Won
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 82 set 5, 4-11 · our read held Oskar Jadach at 56.1%
82 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 2–15 Oskar Jadach Piotr Przewlocki has won 2 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Jadach beat Przewlocki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:0156.1%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 1.8pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-15 in 17
Jadach
Correct
gap of 13 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1373 vs Jadach 1424
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 60% vs Jadach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +2 · Jadach +3
Jadach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Jadach) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.00 / Jadach 1.727
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Jadach)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13216118
Przewlocki2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 136 of 359
Down 0–1, comes back24% 51 of 217
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 104
Jadach1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 348 of 513
Up 2–0, closes it94% 166 of 176
Up 1–0, closes it85% 243 of 286
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki1wins
AwayJadach9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJadach100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki2Jadach8n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S2Przewlocki4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S3Przewlocki3Jadach7n = 10Jadach took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki1Jadach5n = 6Jadach took 5 of 6
S5Przewlocki1Jadach3n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiJadachP − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.342.3−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime527 / 1104 vs 788 / 131747.7%59.8%527 / 1104 vs 788 / 1317Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadachPrzewlocki 2.00/Jadach 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.1%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oskar Jadach @ 1.73 · Won
What happened
2–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki33101490O. Jadach391216113
LSep 22 · 11:25P. Przewlocki38311113102O. Jadach46117511123
LSep 22 · 05:15P. Przewlocki3913651142O. Jadach511111117113
LJul 30 · 15:55P. Przewlocki50711111382O. Jadach46115415113
LJul 30 · 09:55P. Przewlocki2849150O. Jadach391111173
LJul 27 · 15:55P. Przewlocki26821151O. Jadach3811115113
LJul 27 · 09:55P. Przewlocki32913100O. Jadach381115123
LJul 26 · 13:30P. Przewlocki397147111O. Jadach47111211133
WJul 26 · 07:30P. Przewlocki50111189113O. Jadach4679111182
LMay 17 · 12:20P. Przewlocki187470O. Jadach331111113
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 30 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33591111123I. Szymanski3.25111139102WSep 30 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1716136113K. Kowalski4.5014111191LSep 30 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83919111172K. Adamus1.83112189113LSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113LSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.631111113P. Brozek1.448980LSep 30 · 03:50K. Kowalski5.0011116113P. Przewlocki1.14751171WSep 29 · 14:40P. Przewlocki1.8351111113K. Schaniel1.83115581
O. Jadach10
WSep 30 · 13:30O. Jadach1.83781111113P. Brozek1.8311116882WSep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.507740O. Jadach1.171111113WSep 30 · 11:00K. Kowalski6.501061181O. Jadach1.1012116113LSep 30 · 09:25K. Adamus2.10119118163O. Jadach1.67811511142LSep 30 · 08:35I. Szymanski4.5011115143O. Jadach1.179611121LSep 30 · 07:20O. Jadach1.83101161172P. Brozek1.83126115113WSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:55K. Kowalski3.50138281O. Jadach1.28111111113LSep 30 · 03:25K. Adamus1.8391111113O. Jadach1.83117991WSep 29 · 16:20S. Juzek2.908830O. Jadach1.351111113
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