TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Przewlocki vs Sebastian Szostok 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159111183111012
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched: 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Sebastian Szostok below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 91 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Sebastian Szostok at 63.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 12–35 Sebastian Szostok Piotr Przewlocki has won 12 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:5663.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-35 in 47
Szostok
Correct
gap of 23 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1364 vs Szostok 1445
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Szostok 80%
Szostok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Szostok 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Szostok +4
Szostok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Szostok) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.375 / Szostok 1.533
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Szostok)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13243396
Przewlocki2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 135 of 357
Down 0–1, comes back24% 51 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back10% 10 of 104
Szostok1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 335 of 517
Up 2–0, closes it94% 133 of 141
Up 1–0, closes it80% 220 of 276
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki3wins
AwaySzostok7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki33.3%2 of 6
AwaySzostok75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki6Szostok4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki2Szostok6n = 8Szostok took 6 of 8
S5Przewlocki2Szostok2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSzostokP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.142.6−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime521 / 1087 vs 903 / 156147.9%57.9%521 / 1087 vs 903 / 1561Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.840.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokPrzewlocki 2.38/Szostok 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.2%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 11:25P. Przewlocki44115612102S. Szostok506111110123
WSep 28 · 05:15P. Przewlocki551311118123S. Szostok51156911102
LSep 23 · 11:00P. Przewlocki3811114842S. Szostok48781111113
WSep 23 · 04:55P. Przewlocki3912511113S. Szostok351011591
WAug 26 · 14:20P. Przewlocki521191110113S. Szostok4681191262
LAug 26 · 08:10P. Przewlocki30123961S. Szostok43101111113
LAug 24 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2391040S. Szostok341112113
LAug 24 · 07:45P. Przewlocki25115451S. Szostok4181111113
LAug 3 · 13:30P. Przewlocki2981290S. Szostok361114113
LAug 3 · 05:15P. Przewlocki369111061S. Szostok4211812113
P. Przewlocki10
WOct 5 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.63912129113K. Slawinski1.441110101192LSep 30 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.0061151142O. Jadach1.73113119113WSep 30 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33591111123I. Szymanski3.25111139102WSep 30 · 11:50P. Przewlocki1.1716136113K. Kowalski4.5014111191LSep 30 · 10:10P. Przewlocki1.83919111172K. Adamus1.83112189113LSep 30 · 09:00P. Przewlocki2.63791191P. Brozek1.4411114113WSep 30 · 07:45K. Adamus1.837880P. Przewlocki1.831111113WSep 30 · 06:55I. Szymanski3.40121111692P. Przewlocki1.301013411113LSep 30 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.20101490O. Jadach1.611216113WSep 30 · 04:30P. Przewlocki2.631111113P. Brozek1.448980
S. Szostok10
LOct 5 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.10117138123S. Szostok1.674111111102WOct 4 · 17:05S. Szostok1.27141011113I. Szymanski3.251212841WOct 4 · 15:30S. Szostok2.40118117113P. Jedrzejak1.4771161172WOct 4 · 14:20S. Szostok1.50101211113M. Malecha2.401210781WOct 4 · 12:45S. Szostok1.85911512113L. Oracz1.85116111082LOct 4 · 11:30S. Szostok1.83611761M. Oracz1.8311711113LOct 4 · 10:20L. Oracz1.85111186113S. Szostok1.8547111192LOct 4 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak1.651112118113S. Szostok2.1061461192WOct 4 · 08:45S. Szostok1.201111113I. Szymanski4.207860WOct 4 · 07:10S. Szostok1.8512118113M. Oracz1.801051151
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Oct 5 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.83J. Badura1.83—Oct 5 · 06:55P. Przewlocki1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Oct 5 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.75J. Pruszkowski1.40—Oct 5 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.83J. Badura1.83—Oct 5 · 10:35P. Przewlocki2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Oct 5 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75J. Pruszkowski1.40—Oct 5 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Oct 5 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2.25S. Szostok1.57—
S. Szostok
Oct 5 · 05:15S. Szostok2.00K. Slawinski1.73—Oct 5 · 07:20S. Szostok1.80J. Pruszkowski1.91—Oct 5 · 08:10S. Szostok1.67J. Badura2.10—Oct 5 · 09:25S. Szostok1.80J. Pruszkowski1.91—Oct 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Oct 5 · 11:25S. Szostok2.00K. Slawinski1.73—Oct 5 · 12:40S. Szostok1.67J. Badura2.10—Oct 5 · 13:55S. Szostok1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.