TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Ladislav Vosyka vs Jirasek Martin 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181311––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:03 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLadislav Vosyka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11 · our read held Ladislav Vosyka at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 4–5 Jirasek Martin Ladislav Vosyka has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:0354.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Martin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1525 vs Martin 1493
Vosyka
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Martin 80%
Martin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Martin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Martin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.909 / Martin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13242611
Vosyka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 02)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Martin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 34 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it77% 27 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVosyka4wins
AwayMartin5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderMartin leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka100%3 of 3
AwayMartin83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka3Martin6n = 9Martin took 6 of 9
S2Vosyka3Martin6n = 9Martin took 6 of 9
S3Vosyka4Martin5n = 9Martin took 5 of 9
S4Vosyka3Martin3n = 6split evenly
S5Vosyka3Martin1n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVosykaMartinV − MBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match38.839.1−0.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 486 vs 71 / 13352.1%53.4%253 / 486 vs 71 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.91/Martin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 30 · 21:34L. Vosyka45412117113J. Martin42111051152
LSep 30 · 20:05L. Vosyka388811111J. Martin4411119133
LSep 23 · 20:05L. Vosyka249960J. Martin331111113
LSep 21 · 21:35L. Vosyka4891191182J. Martin48117118113
LSep 21 · 20:05L. Vosyka337511101J. Martin3611112123
WSep 11 · 14:35L. Vosyka46126611113J. Martin46101111862
WAug 27 · 20:05L. Vosyka331111113J. Martin209290
WAug 20 · 19:05L. Vosyka521191011113J. Martin4581112772
LAug 16 · 15:35L. Vosyka30710130J. Martin381112153
L. Vosyka10
LOct 4 · 19:05L. Vosyka1.3012681162J. Kabelka3.401011118113LOct 2 · 21:34L. Vosyka1.50111981M. Chmelicek2.5011811113WOct 2 · 20:34L. Vosyka1.301111113S. Mezlik3.409650WOct 2 · 19:05M. Chmelicek2.50911851L. Vosyka1.5011911113WOct 2 · 18:35T. Motacek1.578770L. Vosyka2.251111113LOct 1 · 21:38T. Motacek1.7311611113L. Vosyka2.00611881LOct 1 · 20:35T. Motacek1.9111115113L. Vosyka1.80671141WOct 1 · 19:35L. Vosyka2.00117911113D. Hons1.7381111632WOct 1 · 18:05M. Flesar2.108850L. Vosyka1.671111113WSep 30 · 21:34J. Martin1.53111051152L. Vosyka2.38412117113
J. Martin10
LOct 4 · 19:35J. Martin1.50941171M. Flesar2.5011115113WOct 4 · 09:39R. Vavricka1.837870J. Martin1.831111113LOct 4 · 08:05R. Vavricka1.9111117113J. Martin1.80981151WOct 4 · 07:35S. Mezlik2.756410J. Martin1.401111113WOct 4 · 06:35J. Martin1.671111113M. Chmelicek2.107490WOct 1 · 17:24O. Pros1.831011581J. Martin1.8312711113LOct 1 · 16:05J. Martin1.504740O. Pros2.501111113LOct 1 · 15:05J. Martin1.6711491162T. Krcil2.10811112113LOct 1 · 14:05J. Martin1.914890L. Vana1.801111113LSep 30 · 21:34J. Martin1.53111051152L. Vosyka2.38412117113
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