Daniel Zelezny vs Jachym Sebl 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Oct 3Finished

Daniel Zelezny

Home

1.92

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

411117119411511

Jachym Sebl

Away

1.78

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Jachym Sebl below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 4-11

Set 5 · 3-9

Point 80 set 5, 3-9

80 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

H2H Daniel Zelezny 19–23 Jachym Sebl Daniel Zelezny has won 19 of their 42 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Zelezny beat Sebl 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sebl form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZelezny 1.92 / Sebl 1.78

TT Cup · #13238994

Zelezny1.92

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog59% won 10 of 17

Down 0–1, comes back46% 5 of 11

Down 0–2, comes back50% 3 of 6

Sebl1.78

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite65% won 82 of 127

Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57

Up 1–0, closes it78% 67 of 86

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZelezny4wins

AwaySebl6wins

6 of 10 to a deciderSebl leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZeleznyn = 1, below the 3 needed

AwaySebl66.7%6 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zelezny1Sebl9n = 10Sebl took 9 of 10

S2Zelezny6Sebl4n = 10Zelezny took 6 of 10

S3Zelezny7Sebl3n = 10Zelezny took 7 of 10

S4Zelezny4Sebl5n = 9Sebl took 5 of 9

S5Zelezny3Sebl3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricZeleznySeblZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match41.444.1−2.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZeleznySeblBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 228 vs 299 / 62454.4%47.9%124 / 228 vs 299 / 624Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.336.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Sebl

Zelezny 1.92/Sebl 1.78

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

—

no pick shipped on this market

What happened

2–3

Sebl won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WOct 3 · 11:55D. Zelezny53911118143J. Sebl46118411122

WSep 22 · 14:50D. Zelezny51981211113J. Sebl47111110872

LSep 13 · 11:25D. Zelezny3633111182J. Sebl50111189113

LSep 12 · 21:25D. Zelezny369101161J. Sebl4311129113

LSep 11 · 17:55D. Zelezny28561161J. Sebl4111118113

LSep 11 · 15:50D. Zelezny48101111792J. Sebl49126911113

LJun 1 · 16:50D. Zelezny28711371J. Sebl3811511113

WJan 24 · 12:25D. Zelezny48811612113J. Sebl46118111062

WJan 17 · 13:25D. Zelezny341111123J. Sebl2587100

LJan 10 · 16:55D. Zelezny521211101272J. Sebl561491210113

D. Zelezny10

WOct 3 · 15:25V. Koutnik1.8011981182D. Zelezny1.91711118113 LOct 3 · 13:25D. Zelezny2.00711751V. Koutnik1.7311811113 WOct 3 · 11:55J. Sebl1.83118411122D. Zelezny1.83911118143 WOct 3 · 11:25A. Brandtl Jr3.5011112101D. Zelezny1.2813311123 WOct 2 · 22:25D. Zelezny1.32911119113J. Cousin3.0011981162 WOct 2 · 21:25J. Cousin2.6391040D. Zelezny1.441112113 WOct 2 · 20:25D. Zelezny2.005101111113J. Dohnal1.7311127892 WOct 2 · 18:55T. Rein2.75711751D. Zelezny1.4011811113 WOct 1 · 17:20D. Zelezny1.6111811113T. Cerveny Jr2.20911661 LOct 1 · 16:50D. Zelezny1.402970T. Rein2.751111113

J. Sebl10

WOct 3 · 12:55J. Sebl1.331111113A. Brandtl Jr3.255580 LOct 3 · 11:55J. Sebl1.83118411122D. Zelezny1.83911118143 WOct 3 · 10:55J. Sebl2.20111116113V. Koutnik1.6111591192 LSep 27 · 17:55J. Dohnal1.401111113J. Sebl2.759640 LSep 27 · 16:20J. Dohnal1.5311117163J. Sebl2.384711141 WSep 27 · 15:50R. Muller1.67611101182J. Sebl2.10116128113 WSep 27 · 14:50J. Sebl1.731111123T. Rein2.0073100 LSep 22 · 18:00J. Sebl2.00411571V. Koutnik1.7311511113 WSep 22 · 16:50J. Sebl1.6712128113T. Rein2.1010101181 WSep 22 · 15:20V. Koutnik1.61611491J. Sebl2.2011511113

Upcoming Matches

D. Zelezny

Oct 3 · 17:25D. Zelezny1.25A. Brandtl Jr3.75—

J. Sebl

Nothing scheduled

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Daniel Zelezny vs Jachym Sebl 2-3 · TT Cup

Decision Summary

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Match Winner

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Daniel Zelezny vs Jachym Sebl 2-3 · TT Cup

Decision Summary

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Event Chatroom

Today's matches are already sealed.