TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Krystian Kolodziej vs Marcin Jadczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:52 and never touched: 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeMarcin Jadczyk to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
H2H Krystian Kolodziej 15–19 Marcin Jadczyk Krystian Kolodziej has won 15 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5263.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 1.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jadczyk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
15-19 in 34
Jadczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolodziej 1759 vs Jadczyk 1896
Jadczyk
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolodziej 40% vs Jadczyk 60%
Jadczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolodziej 50% vs Jadczyk 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolodziej -1 · Jadczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Jadczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolodziej 2.375 / Jadczyk 1.533
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Jadczyk)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13238379
Kolodziej2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 70 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Jadczyk1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 403 of 644
Up 2–0, closes it95% 204 of 214
Up 1–0, closes it81% 315 of 387
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolodziej5wins
AwayJadczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolodziej57.1%4 of 7
AwayJadczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolodziej7Jadczyk2n = 9Kolodziej took 7 of 9
S2Kolodziej5Jadczyk4n = 9Kolodziej took 5 of 9
S3Kolodziej5Jadczyk4n = 9Kolodziej took 5 of 9
S4Kolodziej1Jadczyk5n = 6Jadczyk took 5 of 6
S5Kolodziej2Jadczyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolodziejJadczykK − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.338.0+0.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolodziejJadczykBasisWin rate · lifetime1270 / 1908 vs 983 / 168766.6%58.3%1270 / 1908 vs 983 / 1687Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JadczykKolodziej 2.38/Jadczyk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Jadczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jadczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 2 · 10:50K. Kolodziej48711118113M. Jadczyk4711791192
LSep 27 · 13:45K. Kolodziej40121011342M. Jadczyk531012911113
WSep 27 · 06:55K. Kolodziej511211710113M. Jadczyk42101111282
WSep 25 · 11:40K. Kolodziej331111113M. Jadczyk217590
LSep 11 · 11:40K. Kolodziej46118111152M. Jadczyk53911913113
LSep 10 · 12:05K. Kolodziej29115581M. Jadczyk4071111113
WSep 9 · 09:40K. Kolodziej331111113M. Jadczyk194960
WSep 4 · 13:20K. Kolodziej4111118113M. Jadczyk34591191
LSep 2 · 12:05K. Kolodziej249870M. Jadczyk331111113
K. Kolodziej10
LOct 4 · 09:20K. Kolodziej1.731012111162K. Kapik2.00121458113WOct 4 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.401112113D. Kostal2.7551040LOct 4 · 05:40K. Kolodziej3.40551121P. David1.3011118113WOct 4 · 04:10K. Kolodziej1.281111113K. Szurlej3.507420LOct 4 · 03:00K. Kolodziej1.4099111172K. Wisniewski2.75111177113LOct 2 · 15:25K. Kolodziej1.6181381172K. Wloczko2.201111117113WOct 2 · 13:45J. Kuzmicz1.73811111162K. Kolodziej2.00111386113LOct 2 · 12:55D. Michna1.6711168123K. Kolodziej2.1091411101WOct 2 · 12:05K. Kolodziej1.531112113J. Kwapis2.3831070WOct 2 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50711118113M. Jadczyk1.5011791192
M. Jadczyk10
WOct 4 · 07:45K. Szurlej4.50713681M. Jadczyk1.17111111113WOct 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.221011511113D. Kostal4.0012911832WOct 4 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.361111113K. Wisniewski3.006540LOct 4 · 03:45P. David1.7311711113M. Jadczyk2.00811891WOct 2 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz2.003550M. Jadczyk1.731111113LOct 2 · 14:10D. Michna1.8011811113M. Jadczyk1.91911951WOct 2 · 13:20M. Jadczyk1.30591511113J. Kwapis3.40111113862LOct 2 · 11:40M. Jadczyk1.50311661K. Wloczko2.5011911113LOct 2 · 10:50K. Kolodziej2.50711118113M. Jadczyk1.5011791192LOct 2 · 07:45J. Kwapis3.00128611113M. Jadczyk1.36101111652
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