TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Jozala vs Krzysztof Juszczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116911116––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:26 and never touched: 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
118116911116––
H2H Waldemar Jozala 6–10 Krzysztof Juszczyk Waldemar Jozala has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:2673.2%Our read75.2%to break even at 1.33
short by 2.0pp75.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.33 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Juszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Juszczyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jozala 1189 vs Juszczyk 1345
Juszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 156 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jozala 20% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jozala 30% vs Juszczyk 50%
Juszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jozala -3 · Juszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Juszczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJozala 3.10 / Juszczyk 1.33
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Juszczyk)-2.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13238024
Jozala3.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 02)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 18 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 32
Juszczyk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 03)
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 200 of 312
Up 2–0, closes it95% 117 of 123
Up 1–0, closes it80% 160 of 199
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJozala5wins
AwayJuszczyk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJozala66.7%4 of 6
AwayJuszczyk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jozala6Juszczyk4n = 10Jozala took 6 of 10
S2Jozala5Juszczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Jozala4Juszczyk6n = 10Juszczyk took 6 of 10
S4Jozala3Juszczyk4n = 7Juszczyk took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJozalaJuszczykJozala − JuszczykBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.534.8−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJozalaJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 315 vs 657 / 121834.9%53.9%110 / 315 vs 657 / 1218Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykJozala 3.10/Juszczyk 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jozala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 19:40W. Jozala331111561K. Juszczyk3941311113
LSep 6 · 18:25W. Jozala167540K. Juszczyk331111113
WSep 2 · 17:35W. Jozala3521111113K. Juszczyk34117881
LApr 22 · 19:35W. Jozala389117111K. Juszczyk3711211133
WApr 8 · 15:10W. Jozala331111113K. Juszczyk259790
LApr 1 · 15:10W. Jozala32118671K. Juszczyk4291111113
WMar 25 · 20:35W. Jozala4212811113K. Juszczyk321011741
WMar 18 · 16:10W. Jozala331111113K. Juszczyk217770
LMar 11 · 16:10W. Jozala36811981K. Juszczyk4111811113
WMar 4 · 16:10W. Jozala47119511113K. Juszczyk4471111962
W. Jozala10
LOct 4 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.4514117113W. Jozala2.551281131LOct 2 · 22:40D. Fira1.55111199113W. Jozala2.2594111172LOct 2 · 22:05R. Wiza1.601112123W. Jozala2.20310100LOct 2 · 21:30W. Jozala—7870H. Tkaczyk—1111113WOct 2 · 20:20W. Jozala2.001191012113A. Ruszkiewicz1.70911121092LOct 2 · 19:45J. Michalski1.76118114113W. Jozala1.9681181162LSep 28 · 14:20W. Jozala3.2511461162S. Szostok1.33911116113LSep 28 · 12:40P. Przewlocki1.6111118113W. Jozala2.20571191WSep 28 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek1.807370W. Jozala1.911111113WSep 28 · 11:00W. Jozala1.8313511113W. Buczynski1.831111541
K. Juszczyk10
WOct 3 · 02:35K. Juszczyk1.831111113L. Oracz1.838780WOct 3 · 01:00K. Juszczyk1.4411127113G. Sawicki2.634101191WOct 2 · 23:45K. Juszczyk1.4411118113J. Nowak2.63871151LOct 2 · 22:10K. Juszczyk1.6111116462O. Vincenec2.20491111113LOct 2 · 21:00K. Juszczyk1.5791131182M. Baron2.25118118113WOct 2 · 19:40O. Vincenec2.1091312682K. Juszczyk1.6711111011113WOct 2 · 18:55K. Kowalski4.00551251K. Juszczyk1.22111110113LOct 2 · 18:10K. Juszczyk1.8071111882L. Oracz1.91118411113LOct 2 · 16:35K. Juszczyk1.836960M. Baron1.831111113LOct 2 · 15:50J. Nowak2.2510101111113K. Juszczyk1.5712127662
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